Cruise lines · 12/36 against 10/36 checks · to 2026-09-08
CCL vs NCLH.
→Carnival (CCL) is 4.5 times the size of Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) at $31.8B against $7.1B, and on the filings Carnival passes more, 12 checks of 36 against 10.
Which passes more checks?
widest gap first→No axis separates them by more than 2 of six checks, and the widest is Health.
| Health | 2/6 | 0/6 |
| Shareholder returns | 0/6 | 2/6 |
| Value | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Quality | 4/6 | 3/6 |
| Growth | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Trend analysis | 0/6 | 0/6 |
| All checks | 12/36 | 10/36 |
→Carnival turns over $27.3B to Norwegian Cruise Line's $10.2B, 2.7 times as much. Carnival keeps 11.2% of revenue as profit against 7.5% at Norwegian Cruise Line.
Which balance sheet is stronger?
→Carnival carries much the lighter balance sheet, 1.92x of debt to equity against 5.40x - which matters most in the year a downturn arrives, not this one.
| Debt / equity | 1.92x | 5.40x |
| Interest coverage | 3.7x | 2.1x |
| Cash and short-term investments | $2.2B | $458M |
Which hands more back to owners?
→Neither Carnival nor Norwegian Cruise Line pays a dividend worth the name, so what either returns to owners has to come through the share count.
| Dividend yield | - | - |
| Payout ratio | 0.0% | - |
| Years of unbroken dividend | - | - |
Which is cheaper?
→Norwegian Cruise Line is the cheaper of the two on earnings, 9.7x against 10.6x. Against their own histories, Carnival is below its 12.8x median and Norwegian Cruise Line is below its 16.0x.
| Share price | $23.20 | $15.39 |
| Market cap | $31.8B | $7.1B |
| P/E | 10.6x | 9.7x |
| P/E, own median own 6-year median / own 8-year median | 12.8x | 16.0x |
| P/S | 1.2x | 0.7x |
| Free cash flow yield | 10.1% | -16.8% |
Which keeps more of each sale?
→Their gross margins are within 0.6 points of each other, 41.9% at Carnival and 42.5% at Norwegian Cruise Line, so neither keeps materially more of a sale than the other.
| Gross margin | 41.9% | 42.5% |
| Operating margin | 16.3% | 15.1% |
| Return on equity | 23.7% | 29.6% |
Which is growing faster, CCL or NCLH?
→Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line grew revenue at much the same rate last year, +5.2% against +6.2%. Over three years the order is the same, Carnival at +29.8% and Norwegian Cruise Line at +26.6%.
| Revenue (TTM) | $27.3B | $10.2B |
| Revenue growth, 1 year | +5.2% | +6.2% |
| Revenue CAGR, 3 years | +29.8% | +26.6% |
| Net income (TTM) | $3.1B | $761M |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | $3.2B | $-1.2B |
Where they differ most
the checks behind the gapHealth: Carnival 2 ahead
- Debt trending the right way debt/equity 1.92 now vs 2.51 five years ago
- Self-funding TTM free cash flow $3.2B
- Comfortable near-term liquidity 0.20 vs 1.50
- Debt isn't dominating 5.40 vs 1.00
- Debt trending the right way debt/equity 5.40 now vs 4.76 five years ago
Shareholder returns: Norwegian Cruise Line 2 ahead
- Buybacks outpace the stock issued to staff $350M bought back vs $88M of stock compensation
- Meaningful yield to owners (dividends and buybacks) $350M returned, 5.0% of market value
- Share count isn't climbing shares up 18.8% over 3 years
- Buybacks outpace the stock issued to staff no buybacks against $103M of stock compensation
- Hands cash back to owners no dividends and no buybacks in the last twelve months