The eBay story
What drives eBay, what its price assumes and what could change the story, written from its own filings.
- Merchandise growth has accelerated. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue and gross merchandise volume both rose 15%, while first-party advertising revenue grew 25%.
- Cash has competing uses. eBay returned $448 million to stockholders against $326 million of continuing-operations free cash flow in the quarter to June 2026, before paying $1.4 billion for Depop in July 2026.
- Expectations require a reversal. The reverse DCF implies free cash flow after stock pay growing 11.2% annually for ten years, compared with an annual decline of 11.2% over the last ten years.
