S DCF calculator
Value SentinelOne on your own assumptions. It starts from a steady company, with free cash flow, cash and shares from S's SEC filings. Change any of them and see what the shares would be worth.
On your assumptions
$4.40 a share80% below today's $21.58
If free cash flow grows as set, buying at $21.58 would earn about 3.5% a year, less than the 10.2% you asked for.
At that pace, $21.58 becomes about $25.65 in five years, counting the cash the business hands back or keeps.
Show the workings
What the value is made of
- Cash flows, years 1 to 10$433M
- Everything after year ten$443M
- Cash and short-term investments$655M
- All of it, over 0.35bn shares$1.5B
How much the answer moves
Value per share as the return you want and early growth change around your choice.
| Return ↓ · growth → | -5.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | $4.07 | $4.64 | $5.32 | $6.13 | $7.10 |
| 9.2% | $3.75 | $4.22 | $4.79 | $5.47 | $6.27 |
| 10.2% | $3.51 | $3.92 | $4.40 | $4.98 | $5.66 |
| 11.2% | $3.33 | $3.68 | $4.10 | $4.60 | $5.20 |
| 12.2% | $3.18 | $3.49 | $3.86 | $4.30 | $4.83 |
Year by year
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free cash flow | $59M | $62M | $65M | $69M | $72M | $75M | $78M | $81M | $84M | $88M |
| Worth today | $54M | $51M | $49M | $47M | $44M | $42M | $40M | $37M | $35M | $33M |
S's figures are from its SEC filings; the price is the last close. The estimate is yours: it is not a price target, and it is not advice.
How this DCF works
- Free cash flow: operating cash flow less capital spending and the stock paid to staff (which dilutes every other shareholder): -$266M over the last twelve months, after $322M of stock pay.
- Ten years of growth: one rate for years 1 to 5 and another for 6 to 10, then a steady rate forever.
- Discounting: each year's cash is worth less today at the discount rate. The starting rate is the 10-year Treasury yield (5.2%) plus 5 points.
- To value per share: add cash and short-term investments ($655M) and divide by the shares outstanding. Debt is not taken off again: free cash flow is already after the interest on it.
- What the price assumes: the growth at which this model gives back today's price. The S report scores it against the free cash flow growth the company has delivered, slowed halfway toward the economy's growth, because ten more years at a past pace is rare.