Utilities · NextEra Energy vs Vistra · to 2026-10-16

NEE vs VST stock comparison

→NextEra Energy (NEE) and Vistra (VST) are close in size, worth $166.4B and $51.0B, and Vistra passes more of the TenQ Score checks, 18 of 36 against 16.

NEE -3.5% · VST -27.3% over 1Y
59.875.891.7107.7123.6Oct '25Dec '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26
The TenQ Radar

TenQ Score: NEE vs VST

Each company is scored on the same checks, computed from its own filings: value, growth, quality, financial health, shareholder returns and trend. The fuller the shape, the more checks it passes.

→The two are furthest apart on Trend, where Vistra passes 3 more checks.

All checksNEE16/36VST18/36

→NextEra Energy brings in $26.2B of revenue a year to Vistra's $19.2B, 1.4 times as much. NextEra Energy keeps 35.5% of revenue as profit against 11.6% at Vistra.

I

Value: NEE vs VST

NEE2/6VST2/6

NextEra Energy costs less for each dollar of profit, a P/E of 17.8x against 23.7x. Against its own past, NextEra Energy trades below its usual 22.3x and Vistra above its usual 11.7x.

17.8xNEE23.7xVSTwhat you pay per $1 of profit
6.4xNEE2.7xVSTwhat you pay per $1 of revenue
-NEE4.4%VSTcash earned per $ of price
17.4xNEE13.0xVSTwhole-business multiple
Valuation history

Is NEE or VST more expensive against its earnings, sales and book value?

→NEE's latest price to earnings is 17.8x (Q4 2026), against 23.6x at VST (Q2 2026).

What this measures

What the market has paid for each dollar of earnings, sales or book value, every year, with today's multiple as the last point and the median drawn across.

What good looks like. There is no good level. What matters is the distance from the company's own history, and whether the business has changed enough to justify it.

If it rises or falls. A multiple above its own median means the market expects more than it used to, so more has to go right. Below the median means the opposite, and the question is whether the pessimism is deserved. A multiple can also fall because earnings rose, which is the good way.

Free cash flow yield

Which earns more free cash flow for its price, NEE or VST?

→NEE's latest free cash flow yield is 7.4% (Q2 2026), against 4.4% at VST (Q4 2026).

What this measures

Free cash flow divided by market value: the cash the business generates for every dollar you pay for it. The inverse of a price-to-cash multiple.

What good looks like. A yield at or above the company's own history, and one that compares well with what cash is worth elsewhere.

If it rises or falls. The yield rises when cash grows or the price falls, so a high yield is either a bargain or a warning about the cash continuing. Read it beside the cash conversion chart, which shows whether the cash is holding up.

Enterprise value

How do NEE and VST compare on EV/EBITDA, debt included?

→On the latest figures, NEE's EV/EBITDA is 17.4x, against 13.0x at VST.

What this measures

Enterprise value over EBITDA. Enterprise value is the market value of the equity plus debt, less cash and short-term investments - what it would cost to buy the whole company outright. EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation and amortisation.

What good looks like. A multiple below what similar businesses change hands at, and one that has not run far above the company's own past.

If it rises or falls. It rises when the price rises or profit falls, and debt moves it too: two companies on the same price-to-earnings can sit far apart here if one is carrying borrowings the other is not.

Reverse discounted cash flow

How much growth is priced into NEE and VST shares?

Growth priced ina year, next ten years
NEEoperating earnings19.2%
VSTfree cash flow after stock pay10.5%
Growth delivereda year
NEEoperating earnings, last 10 years7.8%
VSTfree cash flow after stock pay, last 5 years8.5%

NEE DCF calculator →VST DCF calculator →

→NEE's price assumes its free cash flow grows 19.2% a year for the next ten years, against 7.8% a year delivered; VST's assumes it grows 10.5% a year, against 8.5% a year delivered.

What this measures

A reverse discounted cash flow. It takes what the market pays for the shares today (market value less the cash the company holds) and works out how fast free cash flow would have to grow each year, for ten years, to be worth exactly that. Free cash flow here is after the stock the company pays its staff, which dilutes every other shareholder, and after interest, so debt is already paid for in it. Future cash is discounted at the 10-year Treasury yield plus 5 points, and grows 2.5% a year after year ten.

What good looks like. A priced-in rate below what its record suggests: the free cash flow growth it delivered over the longest span its filings allow, slowed halfway toward the economy's growth, because very few companies keep a past pace for another decade.

If it rises or falls. It rises when the share price rises or free cash flow falls, and when interest rates rise: a higher Treasury yield means the same price needs more growth to justify it.

What does “Value” actually mean?

Value asks what you pay for each dollar of earnings, sales or cash a business produces. A high multiple is not automatically bad, since fast growers can earn theirs, but a price far above a company's own history means the market expects a lot to go right. Each company is measured against its own past and its sector.

How each scored · NEE 2/6 · VST 2/6

Value, check by check

NEEVST
Cheaper than its own history (earnings)NEEPasses17.77 vs 22.33VSTFails23.68 vs 11.73
Earnings yield beats the 10-year Treasury (5.2%)NEEPasses5.6% vs 5.2%VSTFails4.2% vs 5.2%
Better cash yield than its own historyNEENot scoredunder 3 years of cash-flow historyVSTFails4.4% vs 9.8%
Free cash flow yield above 3%NEENot scoredfree cash flow or market cap unavailableVSTPasses4.4% vs 3.0%
Cheap on enterprise value (under 14x EBITDA)NEEFails17.39 vs 14.00 (fixed yardstick)VSTPasses12.96 vs 14.00 (fixed yardstick)
Priced for less growth than its record suggestsNEEFails19.2% a year priced in vs 5.9%: 7.8% operating earnings growth over the last 10 years, slowing halfway to 4.0% (operating earnings stand in for free cash flow)VSTFails10.5% a year priced in vs 6.2%: 8.5% free cash flow growth over the last 5 years, slowing halfway to 4.0%
II

Growth: NEE vs VST

NEE4/6VST2/6

NextEra Energy grew revenue faster over the last twelve months, +6.9% against +3.8% at Vistra, 3 percentage points apart. Over three years the order is reversed: Vistra grew +4.3% a year against +3.9% at NextEra Energy.

+6.9%NEE+3.8%VSTvs the year before
+3.9%NEE+4.3%VSTa year, compounded
+57.2%NEE-7.1%VSTnet income growth
+18.1%NEE-VSTa year, compounded
Revenue history

Is NEE or VST growing revenue faster?

→On the latest figures, NEE's revenue is $26.2B, against $19.2B at VST.

What this measures

The money customers paid, before any costs are taken out. Each bar is one quarter or, on the annual view, a full financial year; the last annual bar may be the trailing twelve months, which the footnote marks.

What good looks like. Growth that repeats, rather than one strong year carrying the chart, and a trailing twelve months keeping pace with the last full year.

If it rises or falls. Revenue is the hardest line to flatter, so a rise is the most trustworthy kind of growth. A fall puts pressure on every margin below it, because costs rarely come down as quickly as sales do.

Profit history

Is NEE or VST growing its net profit faster?

→On the latest figures, NEE's net profit is $9.3B, against $2.2B at VST.

What this measures

What is left after every cost, including tax and interest. The bottom line of the income statement.

What good looks like. Profit growing at least as fast as revenue, which means the business is keeping more of each sale as it gets bigger.

If it rises or falls. Profit can move for reasons revenue cannot explain - a one-off charge, a tax change, a write-down - so a single sharp year is worth checking against the margin chart before reading it as a trend.

Growth rate

How fast is revenue growing at NEE and at VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's revenue growth is 6.9%, against 3.8% at VST.

What this measures

How much revenue and earnings changed against the year before - the trailing twelve months against the twelve before them at each quarter, or one point per fiscal year. It is the speed of the business, not its size.

What good looks like. The earnings line above the revenue line: profits growing faster than sales means each new dollar of sales arrives more profitably than the last.

If it rises or falls. A high growth rate off a small base is easy and gets harder every year, so slowing growth in a large business is normal rather than a warning. Earnings falling while revenue grows is the combination worth understanding: costs are rising faster than sales.

Per-share growth

Is revenue per share growing faster at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's revenue per share is $12.52, against $56.63 at VST.

What this measures

Revenue and free cash flow, each divided by the number of shares in issue and adjusted for splits so old and new years compare honestly. Both lines rising means each share owns more of the business's sales and cash.

What good looks like. Both lines rising, and revenue per share growing at least as fast as the company's total revenue, which the answer compares. Faster means buybacks are working for you; slower means new shares are absorbing part of the growth.

If it rises or falls. This is the line that actually reaches you. A company can grow revenue every year and still shrink your slice by issuing shares faster than it grows.

What does “Growth” actually mean?

Growth here is what each company has reported to the SEC, not a forecast: the last year, the three-year pace, and whether growth is speeding up or slowing down. Both companies are measured the same way, so their lines can be read against each other.

How each scored · NEE 4/6 · VST 2/6

Growth, check by check

NEEVST
Outgrew its sector over the last twelve monthsNEEFails6.9% vs 14.0% (sector 70th pct, n=118)VSTFails3.8% vs 14.0% (sector 70th pct, n=118)
Sustained growth beats its sector (3 years)NEEFails3.9% vs 7.3% (sector 70th pct, n=113)VSTFails4.3% vs 7.3% (sector 70th pct, n=113)
Profits grew over the last twelve monthsNEEPasses57.2% vs 0.0%VSTFails-7.1% vs 0.0%
Profit growth beats its sector (3 years)NEEPasses18.1% vs 12.9% (sector 70th pct, n=103)VSTPassesprofitable now after losses three years ago
Growth is speeding up, not slowingNEEPasseslast twelve months 6.9% vs three-year pace 3.9%VSTFailslast twelve months 3.8% vs three-year pace 4.3%
Grew per share, not just in totalNEEPasses7.2% vs 0.0%VSTPasses38.7% vs 0.0%
III

Quality: NEE vs VST

NEE5/6VST4/6

NextEra Energy keeps more of each sale: a operating margin of 32.7% against 18.5%, 14 percentage points more on every dollar of revenue.

-NEE-VSTkept after direct costs
32.7%NEE18.5%VSTkept after running costs
17.1%NEE42.3%VSTprofit on shareholders' money
-NEE$2.3BVSTlast 12 months
Margins

Which keeps more of each sale as profit, NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's operating margin is 32.7%, against 18.5% at VST.

What this measures

What survives at three points on the way down the income statement: after the direct cost of the product, after the cost of running the company, and after everything.

What good looks like. Margins that hold or widen as the business grows. The level itself varies enormously by industry, so the shape over time tells you more than the number.

If it rises or falls. A widening margin means pricing power or costs under control. A compressing one means the opposite, and it compounds: on large revenue, two points of margin is a great deal of profit.

Earnings quality

Does profit turn into cash better at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's operating cash per dollar of profit is 1.8x, against 4.3x at VST.

What this measures

Reported profit against the cash the business actually collected from operating. Profit is an accounting judgement; cash is not.

What good looks like. Cash at or above profit, year after year. Depreciation and other non-cash charges usually push cash above profit, so roughly 100% or more is healthy.

If it rises or falls. Cash falling behind profit for more than a year is the classic early warning: the sales are booked but the money has not arrived, and it shows up in receivables and inventory. For a lender the comparison behaves differently, because a growing loan book consumes cash.

Returns on capital

Which earns a higher return on its capital, NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's return on equity is 17.1%, against 42.3% at VST.

What this measures

Two returns side by side: on shareholders' capital (ROE), and on all the capital in the business including debt (ROCE).

What good looks like. Both comfortably above roughly 10%, and close together. A wide gap means borrowing, not operations, is doing the work.

If it rises or falls. A high ROE built on debt looks like quality until the debt has to be refinanced. ROCE is the harder number to flatter, which is why both are shown.

Cash conversion

Which turns more of each sale into free cash flow, NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's free cash flow margin is 52.7%, against 11.7% at VST.

What this measures

Free cash flow as a share of revenue: how much of each dollar of sales survives both costs and capital spending.

What good looks like. A steady or rising share. Asset-light businesses convert far more than manufacturers, so compare a company with itself.

If it rises or falls. Falling conversion while revenue grows means growth is being bought with capital spending or working capital, which is fine while it lasts and painful when it stops.

Spending intensity

How much of their revenue do NEE and VST spend on R&D, capex and stock pay?

→On the latest figures, NEE's stock pay as a share of revenue is 0.7%, against 0.6% at VST.

What this measures

Capital spending, research and development, and stock compensation, each as a share of revenue. The three ways a business pays to keep its position.

What good looks like. A share that is stable or falling while revenue grows, which means the cost of competing is not rising with the business.

If it rises or falls. Rising intensity means each new dollar of sales is getting more expensive to win. Falling intensity can mean efficiency, or it can mean under-investment that shows up years later.

Operating leverage

Is operating profit growing faster at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's operating profit growth is 7.5%, against -0.5% at VST.

What this measures

How often operating profit grew faster than revenue, year by year. Fixed costs mean profit should rise faster than sales once those costs are covered.

What good looks like. Profit outgrowing revenue in most years, and by a widening margin in the good ones.

If it rises or falls. Leverage cuts both ways: the same fixed costs that multiply profit on the way up multiply the damage when sales fall. A business with strong operating leverage is a better business and a more volatile one.

What does “Quality” actually mean?

Quality asks whether growth turns into real money: how much of each sale is kept as profit, whether that profit arrives as cash, and what return the business earns on the money invested in it.

How each scored · NEE 5/6 · VST 4/6

Quality, check by check

NEEVST
Better net margins than its sectorNEEPasses35.5% vs 16.0% (sector 70th pct, n=117)VSTFails11.6% vs 16.0% (sector 70th pct, n=117)
Runs leaner than its sector (operating margin)NEEPasses32.7% vs 25.9% (sector 70th pct, n=113)VSTFails18.5% vs 25.9% (sector 70th pct, n=113)
Actually profitableNEEPassesTTM net income $9.3BVSTPassesTTM net income $2.2B
Earns well on shareholders' moneyNEEPasses17.1% vs 11.1% (sector 70th pct, n=99)VSTPasses42.3% vs 11.1% (sector 70th pct, n=99)
Earns a real return on the capital it employsNEEFails4.2% vs 10.0%VSTPasses11.1% vs 10.0%
Profits are cash, not accountingNEEPasses1.48 vs 0.80VSTPasses2.31 vs 0.80
IV

Financial health: NEE vs VST

NEE1/6VST1/6

Both carry a similar amount of debt for their size, 1.82x of debt for each dollar of equity at NextEra Energy and 3.57x at Vistra.

1.82xNEE3.57xVSTborrowed vs owned
0.5xNEE1.0xVSTnear-term bills coverage
2xNEE3xVSTearnings ÷ interest bill
$2.9BNEE$435MVSTcash plus short-term investments
Debt & cash

How much debt do NEE and VST carry, against the cash they hold?

→On the latest figures, NEE's total debt is $104.2B, against $19.6B at VST.

What this measures

Total borrowings against cash on hand, with debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity, and how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What good looks like. Interest covered comfortably - roughly eight times or more - and debt that is not a large multiple of equity.

If it rises or falls. Debt is only a problem when it has to be repaid or refinanced in a bad year, so cover matters more than the amount. Rising debt with rising cover is a business borrowing to grow; rising debt with falling cover is the combination that ends badly.

Near-term liquidity

Can NEE and VST cover the bills due within a year?

→On the latest figures, NEE's current ratio is 0.5x, against 1.0x at VST.

What this measures

Current assets over current liabilities: what the company can turn into cash within a year against what it owes within a year.

What good looks like. Comfortably above 1.0, and not falling year after year. Below 1.0 means near-term bills exceed near-term resources, which is normal for some business models and a warning in others.

If it rises or falls. Inventory and receivables build it up; short-term borrowing and payables pull it down. A retailer that turns stock over quickly can run lower than a manufacturer and be perfectly sound.

Cash conversion

Which turns more of its revenue into operating cash, NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's operating cash margin is 52.7%, against 26.7% at VST.

What this measures

Operating cash flow as a share of revenue: of every dollar sold, how much reached the bank before capital spending.

What good looks like. A high share, holding up or improving. It is the clearest sign that reported profit is real.

If it rises or falls. It falls when customers take longer to pay or stock builds up, and it can stay high while profit falls - which is usually the more reassuring of the two.

Shareholders' equity

Is shareholders' equity growing faster at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's shareholders' equity is $57.1B, against $5.5B at VST.

What this measures

What would be left for shareholders if every asset were sold at its book value and every debt repaid. Book value, in other words.

What good looks like. Equity growing as retained profits build up, unless the company is deliberately returning more than it earns.

If it rises or falls. Equity falls for two very different reasons: buybacks, which return money to you, and losses, which do not. The distinction is the whole story, and negative equity means liabilities now exceed assets, which makes debt-to-equity and return on equity meaningless rather than alarming.

What does “Financial health” actually mean?

Financial health asks one question: could the business get through a bad year? It looks at how much each company has borrowed, how easily its profits cover the interest, and how much cash it holds against the bills due soon.

How each scored · NEE 1/6 · VST 1/6

Financial health, check by check

NEEVST
Comfortable near-term liquidityNEEFails0.53 vs 1.50VSTFails0.97 vs 1.50
Debt isn't dominatingNEEFails1.82 vs 1.00VSTFails3.57 vs 1.00
Debt trending the right wayNEEFailsdebt/equity 1.82 now vs 1.42 five years agoVSTFailsdebt/equity 3.57 now vs 1.29 five years ago
Earnings cover the interestNEEFails2.15 vs 5.00VSTFails3.15 vs 5.00
Converts sales to cash better than its sectorNEEPasses52.7% vs 34.5% (sector 70th pct, n=118)VSTFails26.7% vs 34.5% (sector 70th pct, n=118)
Self-fundingNEENot scoredfree cash flow unavailableVSTPassesTTM free cash flow $2.3B
V

Shareholder returns: NEE vs VST

NEE3/6VST5/6

Both pay dividends, and NextEra Energy has the higher yield, 3.1% against 0.6%. A yield also rises when a share price falls, so it reads best beside how much of its profit each pays out.

+0.00%NEE+2.25%VSTbought back, last 12 months, over market value
+3.12%NEE+0.60%VSTat the current rate
$4.9BNEE$1.5BVSTdividends plus buybacks
$185MNEE$134MVSTlast 12 months, offsets buybacks
Capital returned

How much cash do NEE and VST hand back to shareholders?

→NEE's latest cash returned in dividends and buybacks is $1.3B (2014), against $1.3B at VST (2025).

What this measures

Cash returned through buybacks and dividends, alongside the value of new shares issued to employees as compensation.

What good looks like. Returns comfortably larger than stock compensation, so the share count actually falls.

If it rises or falls. A company can announce billions in buybacks while issuing nearly as much stock to staff, and the two largely cancel. What reaches you is the net effect, which is why both bars are here rather than only the buyback.

Share count change

Is the share count falling faster at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's change in share count is 1.6%, against -1.8% at VST.

What this measures

The yearly change in the number of shares in issue, adjusted for splits so the years compare. A bar below zero is a falling share count, usually from buybacks; above zero, new shares were issued.

What good looks like. A flat or falling share count. Falling means each share you hold owns a little more of the business every year.

If it rises or falls. A rising count divides the same business among more owners, so your slice shrinks unless profits grow faster. This is the most direct chart on the page: it is your ownership, measured.

Dividend per share

Is the dividend per share growing faster at NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's dividend per share is $2.26, against $0.89 at VST.

What this measures

The dividend paid on one share each year, adjusted for splits so a share today compares with a share ten years ago.

What good looks like. A payment that rises steadily. A long unbroken run of rises is a management commitment as much as a number.

If it rises or falls. A cut is one of the strongest signals a board can send, because they know how it will be read. Check it against the payout chart: a rising dividend the business cannot cover is a promise borrowed against.

Dividend yield

Which pays the higher dividend yield, NEE or VST?

→On the latest figures, NEE's dividend yield is 2.6%, against 0.6% at VST.

What this measures

The dividend paid over the trailing twelve months as a percentage of the share price, at each quarter's (or year's) average price and at today's.

What good looks like. A yield in line with the company's own history. A yield far above it is usually the price falling, not the dividend rising.

If it rises or falls. Yield moves for two opposite reasons, and they are easy to confuse: a bigger dividend, or a cheaper share. The dividend-per-share chart above tells you which one happened.

Payout quality

How much of their profit do NEE and VST pay out as dividends?

→On the latest figures, NEE's share of profit paid as dividends is 53.2%, against 13.9% at VST.

What this measures

The dividend as a share of profit, and as a share of free cash flow. Two views of the same question, because profit and cash are not the same thing.

What good looks like. Comfortably under 75% of profit and under 90% of free cash flow, which leaves room to keep paying through a weak year.

If it rises or falls. A payout ratio climbing towards 100% means the dividend is consuming everything the business earns, so the next bad year has to be funded by borrowing or by a cut. Above 100% it is already being funded from somewhere else.

What does “Shareholder returns” actually mean?

Shareholder returns is the cash a company hands back to the people who own its shares, through dividends and by buying its own shares back, and whether the stock it issues to staff quietly undoes those buybacks.

How each scored · NEE 3/6 · VST 5/6

Shareholder returns, check by check

NEEVST
Share count isn't climbingNEEFailsshares up 4.6% over 3 yearsVSTPassesshares down 18.2% over 3 years
Buybacks outpace the stock issued to staffNEEFailsno buybacks against $185M of stock compensationVSTPasses$1.1B bought back vs $134M of stock compensation
What it hands back fits inside its cash flowNEENot scoredfree cash flow unavailable or negativeVSTPasses64.6% vs 100.0%
Meaningful yield to owners (dividends and buybacks)NEEPasses$4.9B returned, 3.0% of market valueVSTPasses$1.5B returned, 2.9% of market value
Reliable payer, never cutNEEPassespaid 10/10 years, worst year-on-year change 10.2%VSTFailspaid 7/10 years, worst year-on-year change -2.6%
Dividend per share growing ahead of inflationNEEPasses33.4% vs 9.0%VSTPasses23.8% vs 9.0%
VI

Trend: NEE vs VST

NEE1/6VST4/6
-7.5%NEE-1.4%VSTthe long-term trend line
-8.6%NEE-3.6%VSTshare price
-4.3%NEE-27.5%VSTshare price
-17.3%NEE-27.3%VSTdrawdown from the peak
Trend

Which way are NEE and VST shares trending?

NEE
Price chart loads as you scroll…
VST
Price chart loads as you scroll…

Charts by TradingView

→NEE is in a downtrend: the price is below the cloud where recent trading settled and that cloud is still falling. VST is in a clear uptrend: the price is above the cloud where recent trading settled, and that cloud is still rising underneath it.

How the trend is worked out

Trend reads the share price only: where it sits against its own long-term averages and how it has moved against the S&P 500. It says nothing about the business, which the other chapters cover.

How each scored · NEE 1/6 · VST 4/6

Trend, check by check

NEEVST
Price above its long-term trend bandNEEFails$79.80, below the bottom of the trend band of $83.19VSTPasses$152.02 against a top of the trend band of $151.88
Price above its short and medium-term averagesNEEPasses$79.80 against the 9-day average at $78.30 and the 26-day average at $78.85VSTFails$152.02 against the 9-day average at $157.30 and the 26-day average at $151.09
Short-term average above the medium-term oneNEEFails9-day average $78.30 below the 26-day average $78.85, 54 trading days since they crossedVSTPasses9-day average $157.30 above the 26-day average $151.09, 4 trading days since they crossed
The long-term trend band ahead is risingNEEFailsthe trend band already drawn for the next 26 trading days are fallingVSTPassesthe trend band already drawn for the next 26 trading days are rising and it turns up partway through
Price above where it stood 26 trading days agoNEEFails$79.80 against $82.44 26 trading days agoVSTPasses$152.02 against $146.81 26 trading days ago
Beating the S&P 500 over the last yearNEEFails-4.3% vs 16.0%VSTFails-27.5% vs 16.0%