Lends at the checkout: buy-now-pay-later loans for shoppers, paid for by merchants and interest.
$72.40close as of 2026-10-22
+0.7% over 1Y · 15.0 points behind the S&P 500
AFRMS&P 500 (SPY), rebased to AFRM's first close
“Can expanded Walmart, Shopify, and Amazon relationships deepen Affirm usage while preserving the quality of its loans?”
Editorial note · updated 2026-10-02
The TenQ Radar
Affirm in 36 checks
Affirm on the TenQ Radar: value, growth, quality, health, shareholder returns and trend. The fuller the shape, the stronger the company. Behind each axis are six pass-or-fail checks from its filings, spelled out in the chapters below. Point at an axis to see them.
A mixed picture, with strengths and real weaknesses: 16 of 36 checks passed.
The Affirm story
What drives Affirm, what its price assumes and what could change the story, written from its own filings.
Interest drives the business. Interest-bearing installment loans accounted for 70% of Affirm's merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, making repayment and funding costs central to its economics.
Repeat use is growing. Repeat consumers generated 96% of transactions in fiscal 2026, while Affirm's card, app, and website broadened its reach beyond merchant checkout integrations.
Profit needs careful interpretation. In the quarter to June 2026, Affirm's net margin of 138.7% stood far above its operating margin of 12.6%, so bottom-line earnings alone do not describe its lending performance.
Q2 '26 · quarter to 30 June 2026 · reported 27 August 2026 · Earnings release ↗
Revenue$1.2B+33%vs 2025+12%vs Q1
Earnings$1.6B+2235%vs 2025+1471%vs Q1
What the release says
Highlights
Affirm highlighted the launch and development of new technology-driven products such as Affirm Edge, which embeds Affirm's pay-over-time functionality directly into customers’ primary banking and credit union apps, and AdaptAI, an AI-powered personalized promotion platform.
The company continues to rely on a small number of commercial partners, with significant business concentration among partners such as Amazon and Shopify, which exposes Affirm to risks if these relationships change.
Affirm's funding model depends on a variety of funding arrangements, including warehouse credit facilities, securitization trusts, and forward flow arrangements with private credit funds and institutional investors, some of whom have experienced redemption pressures.
The company is investing in generative AI for customer service and other business functions, which introduces new operational, reputational, and regulatory risks.
Key risks
New Affirm may not achieve the productivity, efficiency, quality, or cost-saving benefits anticipated from employee use of AI tools, and if AI-related costs rise faster than expected or expected benefits do not materialize, operating expenses and results of operations could be adversely affected.
New Any acquisitions, strategic investments, new businesses, alliances, or divestitures could fail to achieve strategic objectives, disrupt ongoing operations, or result in operating difficulties, liabilities, and expenses, which could harm Affirm's business and negatively impact results of operations.
Affirm's business is highly dependent on attracting and retaining commercial partners and consumers; failure to do so could materially and adversely affect its business, results of operations, financial condition, and future prospects.
The company relies on a small number of originating bank partners, primarily Celtic Bank and Lead Bank, to originate most loans; termination or disruption of these relationships could significantly impact Affirm's ability to operate and grow.
Affirm's funding model depends on continued access to diverse funding sources; if existing funding arrangements are not renewed or replaced, or if funding sources become unwilling or unable to provide capital, Affirm may need to reduce operations or seek alternative funding under less favorable terms.
The use of generative AI in Affirm's business could result in operational or reputational damage, legal and regulatory risk, and increased costs if AI outputs are inaccurate, biased, or otherwise flawed, or if regulatory requirements change.
AI summary of the company's filings, every number checked against them · 8 October 2026 · Sources: earnings release, 10-K
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I
Value
●●●●●●3/6
Fairly priced on some measures, rich on others.
13.1xno history
5.7xown 6-year median 5.6x
4.1%cash earned per $ of price
45.2xwhole-business multiple
Free cash flow yield
What is AFRM's free cash flow yield at today's price?
Period
FCF yield
2021
-0.0169
2022
-0.012
2023
-0.0218
2024
0.0316
2025
0.0354
2026
0.0406
◌ 2026 = at the latest close (2026-10-22), over the trailing twelve months; earlier years are annual averages · the last point is at the latest close (2026-10-22); earlier quarters use that quarter's average price over the trailing twelve months to it
→Every dollar of market value currently buys 4.1% of annual free cash flow, more than its 6-year median of 3.2% - the cash is cheaper than usual.
What this measures
Free cash flow divided by market value: the cash the business generates for every dollar you pay for it. The inverse of a price-to-cash multiple.
What good looks like. A yield at or above the company's own history, and one that compares well with what cash is worth elsewhere.
If it rises or falls. The yield rises when cash grows or the price falls, so a high yield is either a bargain or a warning about the cash continuing. Read it beside the cash conversion chart, which shows whether the cash is holding up.
What does “Value” actually mean?
Value asks what you pay for each dollar of earnings, sales or cash the business produces. A high multiple isn't automatically bad - fast growers earn theirs - but a price far above the company's own history means the market expects a lot to go right. We compare each multiple to the company's own past and to its sector, never to a universal rule.
no positive three-year earnings growth behind the price
II
Growth
●●●●●●4/6
Growing, with caveats: revenue +32.2% over the last year.
+32.2%vs the year before
+39.0%compound annual
+3597.9%net income growth
-compound annual
Revenue history
Is AFRM's revenue growing?
◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)
Period
Revenue ($)
Q4 2019
130.0M
Q1 2020
138.3M
Q3 2020
174.0M
Q4 2020
204.0M
Q1 2021
230.7M
Q2 2021
261.8M
Q3 2021
269.4M
Q4 2021
361.0M
Q1 2022
354.8M
Q2 2022
364.1M
Q3 2022
361.6M
Q4 2022
399.6M
Q1 2023
381.0M
Q2 2023
445.8M
Q3 2023
496.5M
Q4 2023
591.1M
Q1 2024
576.2M
Q2 2024
659.2M
Q3 2024
698.5M
Q4 2024
866.4M
Q1 2025
783.1M
Q2 2025
876.4M
Q3 2025
933.3M
Q4 2025
1.12B
Q1 2026
1.04B
Q2 2026
1.17B
2019
264.4M
2020
509.5M
2021
870.5M
2022
1.35B
2023
1.59B
2024
2.32B
2025
3.22B
2026
4.26B
→Revenue reached $4.3B in 2026, compounding +39% a year since 2023 though the pace has cooled.
What this measures
The money customers paid, before any costs are taken out. Each bar is one quarter or, on the annual view, a full financial year; the last annual bar may be the trailing twelve months, which the footnote marks.
What good looks like. Growth that repeats, rather than one strong year carrying the chart, and a trailing twelve months keeping pace with the last full year.
If it rises or falls. Revenue is the hardest line to flatter, so a rise is the most trustworthy kind of growth. A fall puts pressure on every margin below it, because costs rarely come down as quickly as sales do.
Profit history
Is AFRM's net profit growing?
◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)
Period
Net income ($)
Q3 2019
-30.8M
Q4 2019
-31.0M
Q1 2020
-85.6M
Q2 2020
34.8M
Q3 2020
-3.9M
Q4 2020
-26.6M
Q1 2021
-287.1M
Q2 2021
-123.4M
Q3 2021
-306.6M
Q4 2021
-159.7M
Q1 2022
-54.7M
Q2 2022
-186.4M
Q3 2022
-251.3M
Q4 2022
-322.4M
Q1 2023
-205.7M
Q2 2023
-206.0M
Q3 2023
-171.8M
Q4 2023
-166.9M
Q1 2024
-133.9M
Q2 2024
-45.1M
Q3 2024
-100.2M
Q4 2024
80.4M
Q1 2025
2.8M
Q2 2025
69.2M
Q3 2025
80.7M
Q4 2025
129.6M
Q1 2026
102.9M
Q2 2026
1.62B
2019
-120.5M
2020
-112.6M
2021
-441.0M
2022
-707.4M
2023
-985.3M
2024
-517.8M
2025
52.2M
2026
1.93B
→Net income was $1.9B in 2026, against $52M the year before. Earnings per share moved +3598% over the last twelve months.
What this measures
What is left after every cost, including tax and interest. The bottom line of the income statement.
What good looks like. Profit growing at least as fast as revenue, which means the business is keeping more of each sale as it gets bigger.
If it rises or falls. Profit can move for reasons revenue cannot explain - a one-off charge, a tax change, a write-down - so a single sharp year is worth checking against the margin chart before reading it as a trend.
Growth rate
How fast are AFRM's revenue and earnings growing?
Shown separately because they would flatten the axis: 2026 earnings +3598% - rebounds off a collapsed prior year.
Year
Revenue growth
Earnings growth
2,020
0.9274
-
2,021
0.7084
-
2,022
0.5501
-
2,023
0.1769
-
2,024
0.4629
-
2,025
0.388
-
2,026
0.3215
-
◌ on the quarterly views, growth is the trailing twelve months against the twelve before, or a quarter against the same quarter a year earlier
→Revenue grew 32% in 2026, against an average of +38% a year over 2022-2026.
What this measures
How much revenue and earnings changed against the year before - the trailing twelve months against the twelve before them at each quarter, or one point per fiscal year. It is the speed of the business, not its size.
What good looks like. The earnings line above the revenue line: profits growing faster than sales means each new dollar of sales arrives more profitably than the last.
If it rises or falls. A high growth rate off a small base is easy and gets harder every year, so slowing growth in a large business is normal rather than a warning. Earnings falling while revenue grows is the combination worth understanding: costs are rising faster than sales.
Per-share growth
Are AFRM's revenue and free cash flow per share growing?
Year
Revenue per share ($)
Free cash flow per share ($)
2,019
5.5838
-2.2612
2,020
10.6469
-1.9291
2,021
5.4662
-1.34
2,022
4.7898
-0.8821
2,023
5.3767
-0.3677
2,024
7.497
0.9386
2,025
9.4551
1.7645
2,026
12.2148
2.8455
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Revenue per share reached $12.21 in 2026, compounding +31% a year against +39% for AFRM as a whole. Dilution absorbed about 7.5 points of that growth. Free cash flow per share stands at $2.85.
What this measures
Revenue and free cash flow, each divided by the number of shares in issue and adjusted for splits so old and new years compare honestly. Both lines rising means each share owns more of the business's sales and cash.
What good looks like. Both lines rising, and revenue per share growing at least as fast as the company's total revenue, which the answer compares. Faster means buybacks are working for you; slower means new shares are absorbing part of the growth.
If it rises or falls. This is the line that actually reaches you. A company can grow revenue every year and still shrink your slice by issuing shares faster than it grows.
Growth here is what the company has actually reported to the SEC - not a forecast. We look at the last year, the three-year pace, whether growth is speeding up or slowing down, and whether it's been consistent rather than one lucky year. Hatched bars are fourth quarters we derived from annual filings (companies file a full-year 10-K rather than a Q4 report).
Rare profitability: margins and returns on capital are well above its peers.
-kept after direct costs
9.8%kept after running costs
50.3%profit on shareholders' money
-against a 10% cost of capital
64%operating cash ÷ net income
Margins
What profit margin does AFRM keep on each sale?
Year
Gross
Operating
Net
2,019
-
-0.4821
-0.4556
2,020
-
-0.2115
-0.221
2,021
-
-0.4408
-0.5067
2,022
-
-0.6419
-0.5243
2,023
-
-0.7562
-0.6205
2,024
-
-0.2651
-0.2229
2,025
-
-0.0271
0.0162
2,026
-
0.0979
0.4529
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Operating margin widened 85 points to 10% since 2023. After everything, 45 cents of each sales dollar reaches net profit. AFRM doesn't tag a gross-profit line in its filings, so the chart starts at operating margin.
What this measures
What survives at three points on the way down the income statement: after the direct cost of the product, after the cost of running the company, and after everything.
What good looks like. Margins that hold or widen as the business grows. The level itself varies enormously by industry, so the shape over time tells you more than the number.
If it rises or falls. A widening margin means pricing power or costs under control. A compressing one means the opposite, and it compounds: on large revenue, two points of margin is a great deal of profit.
Earnings quality
Does AFRM's operating cash flow keep up with its profit?
Year
Cash from operations
Net income
2,019
-87.6M
-120.5M
2,020
-71.3M
-112.6M
2,021
-193.1M
-441.0M
2,022
-162.2M
-707.4M
2,023
12.2M
-985.3M
2,024
450.1M
-517.8M
2,025
793.9M
52.2M
2,026
1.23B
1.93B
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Only 64% of reported profit becomes operating cash. Accounting profit is running ahead of cash collection, which is worth watching in the receivables and inventory lines.
What this measures
Reported profit against the cash the business actually collected from operating. Profit is an accounting judgement; cash is not.
What good looks like. Cash at or above profit, year after year. Depreciation and other non-cash charges usually push cash above profit, so roughly 100% or more is healthy.
If it rises or falls. Cash falling behind profit for more than a year is the classic early warning: the sales are booked but the money has not arrived, and it shows up in receivables and inventory. For a lender the comparison behaves differently, because a growing loan book consumes cash.
Returns on capital
What return on equity and on capital does AFRM earn?
Year
ROE
ROA
ROCE
2,022
-0.2842
-0.0906
-
2,023
-0.383
-0.1087
-
2,024
-0.191
-0.0494
-
2,025
0.0165
0.004
-
2,026
0.4274
0.1222
-
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-06-30), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→AFRM earns 50% on shareholders' capital. Return on capital employed isn't meaningful for this business model, so ROE carries the picture alone.
What this measures
Two returns side by side: on shareholders' capital (ROE), and on all the capital in the business including debt (ROCE).
What good looks like. Both comfortably above roughly 10%, and close together. A wide gap means borrowing, not operations, is doing the work.
If it rises or falls. A high ROE built on debt looks like quality until the debt has to be refinanced. ROCE is the harder number to flatter, which is why both are shown.
Cash conversion
How much of each sale does AFRM turn into free cash flow?
Period
FCF margin
2019
-0.4049
2020
-0.1812
2021
-0.2451
2022
-0.1842
2023
-0.0684
2024
0.1252
2025
0.1866
2026
0.233
→23 cents of every sales dollar became free cash in 2026, up 30 points since 2023 - the best conversion in its filed history.
What this measures
Free cash flow as a share of revenue: how much of each dollar of sales survives both costs and capital spending.
What good looks like. A steady or rising share. Asset-light businesses convert far more than manufacturers, so compare a company with itself.
If it rises or falls. Falling conversion while revenue grows means growth is being bought with capital spending or working capital, which is fine while it lasts and painful when it stops.
Spending intensity
How much of its revenue does AFRM spend on capex, R&D and stock pay?
Year
Capex % of rev
Stock comp % of rev
2,019
0.0734
0.1275
2,020
0.0413
0.0581
2,021
0.0233
0.336
2,022
0.064
0.2898
2,023
0.0761
0.2845
2,024
0.0686
0.1483
2,025
0.0596
0.0997
2,026
0.0559
0.0715
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→The biggest claim on each sales dollar is stock compensation, at 7% of revenue (capital spending 6%). That share has fallen since 2023, so the cost of competing is easing.
What this measures
Capital spending, research and development, and stock compensation, each as a share of revenue. The three ways a business pays to keep its position.
What good looks like. A share that is stable or falling while revenue grows, which means the cost of competing is not rising with the business.
If it rises or falls. Rising intensity means each new dollar of sales is getting more expensive to win. Falling intensity can mean efficiency, or it can mean under-investment that shows up years later.
The allowance against the bookInsight
How much of Affirm's loan book does it expect to lose?
→Affirm has set aside 5.9% of the loans it holds against losses at the end of 2026Q2, against 9.2% at the end of 2020Q2. The allowance is what the company itself expects not to get back.
Source: SEC filings - XBRL financial data · as at 2026-06-30
What does “Quality” actually mean?
Quality asks whether the growth makes real money. Margins show how much of each sale survives costs; return on equity shows what shareholders earn on their capital; and the profit-to-cash comparison catches companies whose accounting profits never turn into actual cash.
The balance sheet carries real risk. Read the checks before anything else.
1.79xborrowed vs owned
-near-term bills coverage
1xearnings ÷ interest bill
$1.6Bcash plus short-term investments
Debt & cash
How much debt does AFRM carry, and do its profits cover the interest?
Year
Total debt
Cash & investments
2,018
-
237.5M
2,019
-
254.8M
2,020
-
520.7M
2,021
-
2.57B
2,022
-
1.44B
2,023
-
1.04B
2,024
7.31B
1.20B
2,025
9.01B
1.53B
2,026
9.79B
1.63B
◌ each quarterly point is the balance sheet at that quarter end
→Debt of $9.8B sits against $1.6B of cash, or 1.8x shareholders' equity. Earnings cover interest only 0.9 times, which is thin.
What this measures
Total borrowings against cash on hand, with debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity, and how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What good looks like. Interest covered comfortably - roughly eight times or more - and debt that is not a large multiple of equity.
If it rises or falls. Debt is only a problem when it has to be repaid or refinanced in a bad year, so cover matters more than the amount. Rising debt with rising cover is a business borrowing to grow; rising debt with falling cover is the combination that ends badly.
Interest cover
How many times over can AFRM's operating profit pay its interest bill?
Period
Interest cover (x)
2019
-4.9215
2020
-3.3355
2021
-7.2802
2022
-12.4264
2023
-6.5616
2024
-1.7889
2025
-0.2051
2026
0.9184
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Operating profit does not cover the interest bill (0.9x). Cover is wider than in 2019.
What this measures
Operating profit divided by interest expense - how many times over the year's earnings could pay the year's interest.
What good looks like. High and steady. Five times is a common floor; comfortably above it means the debt is being carried, not merely serviced.
If it rises or falls. It falls when profit falls or when borrowing costs rise, and a company can look safe on the level while the direction is telling you otherwise.
Cash conversion
How much of AFRM's revenue arrives as operating cash?
Period
Operating cash flow / revenue
2019
-0.3315
2020
-0.1399
2021
-0.2219
2022
-0.1202
2023
0.0077
2024
0.1938
2025
0.2462
2026
0.2889
◌ each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→28.9% of every dollar AFRM sold arrived as operating cash. Up from -33.2% in 2019.
What this measures
Operating cash flow as a share of revenue: of every dollar sold, how much reached the bank before capital spending.
What good looks like. A high share, holding up or improving. It is the clearest sign that reported profit is real.
If it rises or falls. It falls when customers take longer to pay or stock builds up, and it can stay high while profit falls - which is usually the more reassuring of the two.
Shareholders' equity
Is AFRM's shareholder equity (book value) growing?
Period
Equity ($)
2018
-169.3M
2019
-337.2M
2020
-343.3M
2021
2.47B
2022
2.51B
2023
2.63B
2024
2.79B
2025
3.55B
2026
5.48B
→The company's own capital grew from $2.6B in 2023 to $5.5B (+108%). The business is building book value rather than consuming it.
What this measures
What would be left for shareholders if every asset were sold at its book value and every debt repaid. Book value, in other words.
What good looks like. Equity growing as retained profits build up, unless the company is deliberately returning more than it earns.
If it rises or falls. Equity falls for two very different reasons: buybacks, which return money to you, and losses, which do not. The distinction is the whole story, and negative equity means liabilities now exceed assets, which makes debt-to-equity and return on equity meaningless rather than alarming.
What does “Health” actually mean?
Health asks one question: can the business survive a bad year? We check whether near-term bills are covered, whether debt is modest and shrinking, whether earnings comfortably pay the interest, and - for loss-makers - how many years of cash are left at the current burn rate.
AFRM returns nothing to shareholders yet, and the share count keeps rising. Every dollar stays in the business.
+0.00%bought back, TTM, over market value
-at the current rate
$0.00dividends plus buybacks
$305Mlast 12m, dilutes the buybacks
+634.0%since 2019 (split-adjusted)
Capital returned vs stock comp
Do AFRM's buybacks and dividends outweigh the stock it issues to staff?
Year
Buybacks
Dividends
Stock comp
2,019
2.6M
-
33.7M
2,020
18.9M
-
29.6M
2,021
800,000
-
292.5M
2,022
86,000
-
391.0M
2,023
109,000
-
451.7M
2,024
-
-
344.5M
2,025
250.0M
-
321.4M
2,026
-
-
304.7M
→AFRM returned no cash to shareholders in the latest filed year: everything is being retained or reinvested.
What this measures
Cash returned through buybacks and dividends, alongside the value of new shares issued to employees as compensation.
What good looks like. Returns comfortably larger than stock compensation, so the share count actually falls.
If it rises or falls. A company can announce billions in buybacks while issuing nearly as much stock to staff, and the two largely cancel. What reaches you is the net effect, which is why both bars are here rather than only the buyback.
Shareholder yield
What is AFRM's shareholder yield from dividends and buybacks?
Year
Buyback yield
Dividend yield
2,021
0.0001
-
2,022
0
-
2,023
0
-
2,024
0
-
2,025
0.0147
-
2,026
0
-
◌ the last point is at the latest close (2026-10-22); earlier quarters use that quarter's average price over the trailing twelve months to it
→AFRM handed back 0.0% of its market value over the last twelve months, below the 2% this check asks for. All of it is the dividend; AFRM is not buying back stock. Its own average is 0.0%, so less is coming back than usual.
What this measures
Dividends and buybacks, each as a percentage of what the company was worth that year. The dollar chart says how much came back; this says how much came back for the price.
What good looks like. A total that clears a couple of percent and holds. Which half it comes from matters less than whether it is sustained.
If it rises or falls. A yield rises when the price falls as readily as when the payout grows, so read a jump beside the price chart before treating it as generosity.
Share count change (split-adjusted)
Is AFRM's share count rising or falling?
Year
Share-count change
2,020
0.0108
2,021
2.3275
2,022
0.769
2,023
0.0484
2,024
0.0491
2,025
0.1006
2,026
0.0229
→The share count grew 2.3% in 2026, averaging 5.8% a year over three years. Your slice of the company shrinks by that much each year unless earnings grow faster.
What this measures
The yearly change in the number of shares in issue, adjusted for splits so the years compare. A bar below zero is a falling share count, usually from buybacks; above zero, new shares were issued.
What good looks like. A flat or falling share count. Falling means each share you hold owns a little more of the business every year.
If it rises or falls. A rising count divides the same business among more owners, so your slice shrinks unless profits grow faster. This is the most direct chart on the page: it is your ownership, measured.
Dilution against what it bought
Has AFRM's revenue per share grown faster than its share count?
Change since 2019. The gap between the lines is what each share gained or lost. Share counts are split-adjusted weighted averages.
Year
Share count, change since 2019
Revenue per share, change since 2019
2,019
0
0
2,020
0.0108
0.9068
2,021
2.3635
-0.0211
2,022
4.95
-0.1422
2,023
5.2381
-0.0371
2,024
5.5446
0.3426
2,025
6.2029
0.6933
2,026
6.3681
1.1875
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-06-30), not a full fiscal year · on the quarterly view, revenue per share is the trailing twelve months over that quarter's diluted count
→AFRM's share count rose 637% from 2019 to 2026 while revenue per share grew 119%. Holders are further ahead than before, though the gain per share is smaller than the growth in the business.
What this measures
The share count and revenue per share over the same years, both indexed to 100 at the start, so the two lines can be compared directly.
What good looks like. The per-share line above the share-count line: whatever the company did with its shares, more business ended up behind each one.
If it rises or falls. Issuing shares is not automatically bad. It is bad when the money raised buys less growth than the dilution cost, which is exactly what the gap between these two lines shows.
Why compare buybacks with stock compensation?
A company can trumpet billions in buybacks while quietly issuing nearly as much stock to employees. What matters to you is the net effect: is the share count actually falling? If not, the 'return' is mostly recycling.
→AFRM is in a downtrend: the price is below the cloud where recent trading settled and that cloud is still falling. Against that, both shorter readings point up, which is the earliest place a turn shows.
How the trend above is worked out
The trend read is the daily Ichimoku picture, the same indicator drawn on the chart above. Five names, and what each one is: the TENKAN is the midpoint of the last 9 sessions' high and low, the fast line; the KIJUN is the same over 26 sessions, the slow one; the two SENKOU spans are midpoints drawn 26 sessions into the FUTURE, and the band between them is the KUMO cloud - because it is drawn forward, the support for the coming weeks is already fixed and a change of its direction can be seen coming; the CHIKOU is today's close compared with the close 26 sessions back. A trend confirms itself in that order and the checks follow it: price clears the cloud, holds above both lines, the Tenkan crosses above the Kijun, the cloud ahead turns up, and the Chikou stands higher than the price a month ago. Six of six therefore means all of that at once; a price sitting inside the cloud, or below its own lines, cannot get there. The last check is the one Ichimoku cannot answer - whether the S&P 500 did better over 12 months (252 sessions), measured on the SPY ETF with dividends included, on the same adjusted basis as the stock's own price. Our figures are the last close we hold, refreshed every trading night; the chart is live. None of this says anything about the business, and it is not advice.
Are AFRM's insiders buying or selling shares with their own money?
Month
Buys ($)
Sells ($)
2023-11
0
0
2023-12
0
122.9M
2024-01
0
0
2024-02
0
0
2024-03
0
318,970
2024-04
0
327,412
2024-05
0
297,902
2024-06
0
267,399
2024-07
0
277,260
2024-08
0
249,514
2024-09
0
6.8M
2024-10
0
0
2024-11
0
57.8M
2024-12
0
37.2M
2025-01
0
1.6M
2025-02
0
1.4M
2025-03
0
1.1M
2025-04
0
730,520
2025-05
0
820,589
2025-06
0
152,147
2025-07
0
5.5M
2025-08
0
90.7M
2025-09
0
64.2M
2025-10
0
0
2025-11
0
0
2025-12
0
573,230
2026-01
0
56.7M
2026-02
0
0
2026-03
0
0
2026-04
0
110,000
2026-05
0
130,000
2026-06
0
8.0M
2026-07
0
0
2026-08
0
7.3M
2026-09
0
11.4M
2026-10
0
5.2M
→Since November 2023, insiders sold $482M on the open market and bought nothing. Many sales are pre-scheduled diversification rather than a view on the price. A further 386 transactions were grants, option exercises or tax withholding, which say nothing either way.
What this measures
Open-market buys and sells by the company's own officers and directors, from their Form 4 filings. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax are excluded, because they are compensation rather than decisions.
What good looks like. Buying with their own money, which is the one insider action that is hard to explain away.
If it rises or falls. Selling is weak evidence: insiders sell to diversify, to buy houses, and on pre-scheduled plans set months ahead. Buying is stronger evidence, because there is only one reason to do it. The absence of any buying over a long stretch is itself worth noticing.
The record
Who did what, exactly?
Date
Insider
Role
Type
Shares
Price
Value
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
17,023
$17.19
$292,625
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
1,866
$41.80
$77,999
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
10,239
$22.30
$228,330
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
21,836
$23.35
$509,871
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
8,991
$44.06
$396,143
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
exercise
5,636
$57.59
$324,577
2026-10-09
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
SELL
65,591
$80.02
$5.25M
2026-09-14
Siphelele Jiyane
Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
26,980
$72.19
$1.95M
2026-09-04
Siphelele Jiyane
Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
25,000
$72.41
$1.81M
2026-09-03
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
exercise
4,404
$22.30
$98,209
2026-09-03
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
exercise
37,260
$23.35
$870,021
2026-09-03
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
SELL
41,664
$75.53
$3.15M
2026-09-02
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
SELL
5,886
$74.02
$435,682
2026-09-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
tax
4,795
$69.94
$335,362
2026-09-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
exercise
41,664
$22.30
$929,107
2026-09-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
SELL
23,765
$70.13
$1.67M
2026-09-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
SELL
15,599
$71.00
$1.11M
2026-09-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
SELL
2,300
$71.87
$165,301
2026-09-01
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
tax
6,101
$69.94
$426,704
2026-09-01
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
SELL
15,545
$71.59
$1.11M
2026-09-01
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
SELL
200
$72.51
$14,502
2026-09-01
Libor Michalek
President
tax
5,784
$69.94
$404,533
2026-09-01
Michael Linford
President
tax
4,662
$69.94
$326,060
2026-09-01
Siphelele Jiyane
Chief Accounting Officer
tax
3,558
$69.94
$248,847
2026-08-28
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
exercise
79,219
$5.39
$426,990
2026-08-28
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
SELL
79,219
$90.01
$7.13M
2026-08-12
Noel Bertram Watson
Director
SELL
2,000
$77.86
$155,720
2026-08-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
tax
634
$71.51
$45,337
2026-08-01
Libor Michalek
President
tax
1,189
$71.51
$85,025
2026-08-01
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
tax
970
$71.51
$69,365
2026-07-01
Libor Michalek
President
tax
1,189
$83.85
$99,698
2026-07-01
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
tax
972
$83.85
$81,502
2026-07-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
tax
635
$83.85
$53,245
2026-06-26
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
exercise
100,000
$5.39
$539,000
2026-06-26
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
SELL
100,000
$80.04
$8M
2026-06-01
Michael Linford
Chief Operating Officer
tax
4,666
$72.91
$340,198
2026-06-01
Robert O'Hare
Chief Financial Officer
tax
8,355
$72.91
$609,163
2026-06-01
Libor Michalek
President
tax
5,783
$72.91
$421,639
2026-06-01
Katherine Adkins
Chief Legal Officer
tax
4,793
$72.91
$349,458
Why do the transaction types matter so much?
Most insider filings are not trades: stock grants, option exercises and tax withholding are how executives get paid, and gifts are estate planning. The signal lives in open-market transactions - a buy means an insider chose to spend their own cash on the stock. Sells are murkier: many are pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plans set months in advance. That's why the chart counts only open-market activity, and the table labels every row.
VIII
Ownership
informational
77.1%on Form 13F, 30 June 2026
3.5%officers, directors, founders
49.0%together
Top holders
Who owns Affirm stock?
Fund managers filing Form 13F held 77.1% of the company's shares on 30 June 2026. The largest holder is Capital Research Global Investors, with 7.7%. Insiders hold 3.5%.
#
Holder
Stake
Shares
Value
Change
1
Capital Research Global InvestorsFund manager
7.71%
26.0M
$1.9B
+5.7%
2
Capital World InvestorsFund manager
6.85%
23.1M
$1.7B
+2.7%
3
Morgan StanleyFund manager
6.82%
23.0M
$1.7B
+5.9%
4
BlackRock, Inc.Fund manager
5.81%
19.6M
$1.4B
+4.7%
5
FMR LLCFund manager
5.21%
17.6M
$1.3B
+1.7%
6
JPMorgan Chase & CoFund manager
4.96%
16.7M
$1.2B
+215.7%
7
Vanguard Capital Management LLCFund manager
3.65%
12.3M
$892M
+1.4%
8
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLCFund manager
3.52%
11.9M
$861M
+2.5%
9
GIC Private Limited10% owner · Form 13G, 31 December 2024
2.62%
8.8M
$641M
-
10
State Street CorpFund manager
1.88%
6.3M
$460M
+5.3%
11
Baillie Gifford & CoFund manager
1.74%
5.9M
$424M
+10.4%
12
Geode Capital Management, LLCFund manager
1.69%
5.7M
$414M
+3.4%
13
Winslow Capital Management, LLCFund manager
1.36%
4.6M
$331M
New
14
Durable Capital Partners LPFund manager
1.31%
4.4M
$320M
-21.7%
15
Norges BankFund manager
1.09%
3.7M
$267M
New
16
Bank of America CorpFund manager
0.84%
2.8M
$206M
+2.4%
17
UBS Group AGFund manager
0.74%
2.5M
$182M
+9.1%
18
D1 Capital Partners L.P.Fund manager
0.57%
1.9M
$138M
-1.5%
19
Vanguard Fiduciary Trust CoFund manager
0.56%
1.9M
$136M
+3.4%
20
Northern Trust CorpFund manager
0.54%
1.8M
$131M
+2.9%
The full list of top holders is free with an account
Source: SEC Form 13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026, Schedules 13D and 13G, and Form 4. Shares on today's basis, value at the latest price.
Where does this list come from?
Fund managers with more than $100 million in US stocks report their holdings every quarter on Form 13F, up to 45 days after the quarter ends, so the fund figures are as of the last quarter end. A fund family reports as one manager, and funds together can report more than 100%: shares lent to short sellers are bought again by other funds, and both report them. Anyone holding more than 5% of a class files a Schedule 13D or 13G, and officers and directors report what they hold on Form 4 after every trade, so those rows carry their own dates. Short positions are not reported anywhere. A stake is the holder's shares as a share of all the company's shares, with other share classes converted at their market value.