Makes small military drones and Switchblade loitering munitions for the US and its allies.
$121.79close as of 2026-10-16
-67.4% over 1Y · 84.2 points behind the S&P 500
AVAVS&P 500 (SPY), rebased to AVAV's first close
“Can AeroVironment convert its record funded backlog into profits while expanding manufacturing and improving Space, Cyber and Directed Energy?”
Editorial note · updated 2026-10-08
The TenQ Radar
AeroVironment in 36 checks
AeroVironment on the TenQ Radar: value, growth, quality, health, shareholder returns and trend. The fuller the shape, the stronger the company. Behind each axis are six pass-or-fail checks from its filings, spelled out in the chapters below. Point at an axis to see them.
The business itself is the question here: 10 of 36 checks passed.
The AeroVironment story
What drives AeroVironment, what its price assumes and what could change the story, written from its own filings.
Demand exceeds deliveries. Funded backlog reached $1.5 billion as of August 1, 2026, up 37% from a year earlier, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4 in the quarter to August 2026.
Profit improvement needs context. Gross margin rose to 26% from 21% in the quarter to August 2026, primarily because intangible amortization and other noncash purchase accounting expenses declined.
Cash remains the test. Revenue grew 84.4% over the last twelve months, but free cash flow was -$25 million and operating margin was -12.6%.
Q2 '26 · quarter to 1 August 2026 · reported 9 September 2026 · Earnings release ↗
Revenue$480M+5.7%vs 2025-25%vs Q1
Earnings-$5M+$62Mvs 2025-$68Mvs Q1
What the release says
Highlights
AeroVironment reported record first-quarter revenue of $480.5 million, a 6% increase year-over-year, driven by higher product sales and service revenue.
The company achieved bookings of $0.7 billion and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4, resulting in a record funded backlog of $1.5 billion, up 37% year-over-year.
Gross margin improved to 26% from 21% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to a decrease in intangible amortization and other non-cash purchase accounting expenses.
Segment results showed Autonomous Systems (AxS) revenue of $346.0 million and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy (SCDE) revenue of $134.5 million, with AxS segment adjusted EBITDA increasing while SCDE segment adjusted EBITDA turned negative.
What management expects
For fiscal year 2027, AeroVironment expects revenue between $2.125 billion and $2.225 billion, net income between $10 million and $27 million, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA between $305 million and $325 million, earnings per diluted share between $0.21 and $0.53, and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share between $3.02 and $3.34.
These estimates reflect management’s view of current and future market conditions and are subject to risks and uncertainties, including integration of acquisitions, government contract timing, and changes in government spending.
Key risks
New The implementation of the EU Artificial Intelligence Act and similar international AI regulatory frameworks may require AeroVironment to modify product designs, increase compliance expenditures, or restrict certain AI-enabled capabilities, potentially limiting commercialization in European or other international markets.
New Recent U.S. government actions, such as the establishment of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and related Pentagon spending reviews, have increased uncertainty around funding for U.S. government programs, which could result in contract cancellations or stop-work orders affecting AeroVironment’s business.
AeroVironment relies heavily on sales to the U.S. government, particularly the Department of Defense, and any decline in government budgets, changes in spending priorities, or delays in contract awards could significantly affect future revenue.
The company’s international business exposes it to risks such as difficulties in obtaining export authorizations, regulatory requirements, currency fluctuations, and potential trade restrictions, which could negatively impact demand and operations.
Rapid technological change in the defense and technology markets requires continuous innovation, and failure to develop new products or enhancements could render existing products obsolete and harm competitiveness.
Supply chain risks, including scarcity or unavailability of critical components and raw materials, especially those sourced from China, could lead to manufacturing delays, higher costs, and inability to meet customer demand.
AI summary of the company's filings, every number checked against them · 8 October 2026 · Sources: earnings release, 10-K, 10-Q
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I
Value
●●●●●●1/6
Expensive against its own history and its sector (judged on sales, as it is not yet profitable): the price asks a lot of the business.
-own 8-year median 60.4x
3.1xown 11-year median 4.5x
-0.4%cash earned per $ of price
-whole-business multiple
Valuation history
Is AVAV's P/E, P/S or P/B high or low against its own past?
Year
P/E
P/S
P/B
2015
67.1353
2.5753
1.6976
2016
48.2381
2.7109
1.8198
2017
60.3559
3.9776
2.7617
2018
39.5168
5.9648
4.1149
2019
35.0906
3.9241
2.937
2020
92.1083
5.4417
4.0918
2023
54.1544
4.5083
3.9745
2024
114.1282
6.0663
5.7815
2026
-
3.0906
1.408
◌ 2026 = at the latest close (2026-10-16), over the trailing twelve months; earlier years are annual averages · the last point is at the latest close (2026-10-16); earlier quarters use that quarter's average price over the trailing twelve months to it
→At 3.1x sales, the market is paying 31% less than AVAV's own 11-year median of 4.5x. Pessimism is priced in - the question is whether it is deserved. Today's multiple is the lowest in the charted history.
What this measures
What the market has paid for each dollar of earnings, sales or book value, every year, with today's multiple as the last point and the median drawn across.
What good looks like. There is no good level. What matters is the distance from the company's own history, and whether the business has changed enough to justify it.
If it rises or falls. A multiple above its own median means the market expects more than it used to, so more has to go right. Below the median means the opposite, and the question is whether the pessimism is deserved. A multiple can also fall because earnings rose, which is the good way.
Free cash flow yield
What is AVAV's free cash flow yield at today's price?
Period
FCF yield
2015
-0.0001
2016
-0.0273
2017
0.0559
2018
0.0096
2019
0.0096
2020
0.035
2021
-0.0147
2022
-0.0016
2023
-0.0024
2024
-0.0042
2025
-0.0112
2026
-0.004
◌ 2026 = at the latest close (2026-10-16), over the trailing twelve months; earlier years are annual averages · the last point is at the latest close (2026-10-16); earlier quarters use that quarter's average price over the trailing twelve months to it
→Every dollar of market value currently buys -0.4% of annual free cash flow, more than its 11-year median of -0.2% - the cash is cheaper than usual.
What this measures
Free cash flow divided by market value: the cash the business generates for every dollar you pay for it. The inverse of a price-to-cash multiple.
What good looks like. A yield at or above the company's own history, and one that compares well with what cash is worth elsewhere.
If it rises or falls. The yield rises when cash grows or the price falls, so a high yield is either a bargain or a warning about the cash continuing. Read it beside the cash conversion chart, which shows whether the cash is holding up.
Enterprise value
What is AVAV's EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole business, debt included?
Period
EV / EBITDA
2015
15.9466
2016
16.946
2017
23.5193
2018
38.0868
2019
20.3657
2020
28.3809
2021
44.7452
2023
29.3966
2024
60.7162
→AVAV's enterprise value last ran at 60.7x its EBITDA. There is no current figure: the last twelve months show no EBITDA to divide by.
What this measures
Enterprise value over EBITDA. Enterprise value is the market value of the equity plus debt, less cash and short-term investments - what it would cost to buy the whole company outright. EBITDA is operating profit before depreciation and amortisation.
What good looks like. A multiple below what similar businesses change hands at, and one that has not run far above the company's own past.
If it rises or falls. It rises when the price rises or profit falls, and debt moves it too: two companies on the same price-to-earnings can sit far apart here if one is carrying borrowings the other is not.
What does “Value” actually mean?
Value asks what you pay for each dollar of earnings, sales or cash the business produces. A high multiple isn't automatically bad - fast growers earn theirs - but a price far above the company's own history means the market expects a lot to go right. We compare each multiple to the company's own past and to its sector, never to a universal rule.
not profitable: no free cash flow or earnings for the price to rest on
II
Growth
●●●●●●4/6
Growing, with caveats: revenue +84.4% over the last year.
+84.4%vs the year before
+54.1%compound annual
-net income growth
-compound annual
Revenue history
Is AVAV's revenue growing?
◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)
Period
Revenue ($)
Q3 2011
80.4M
Q4 2011
72.0M
Q1 2012
110.7M
Q2 2012
58.7M
Q3 2012
80.3M
Q4 2012
47.1M
Q1 2013
54.1M
Q2 2013
44.1M
Q3 2013
64.9M
Q4 2013
69.2M
Q1 2014
73.5M
Q2 2014
51.9M
Q3 2014
52.7M
Q4 2014
68.4M
Q1 2015
86.5M
Q2 2015
47.0M
Q3 2015
64.7M
Q4 2015
67.6M
Q1 2016
84.8M
Q2 2016
34.4M
Q3 2016
65.8M
Q4 2016
54.6M
Q1 2017
115.7M
Q2 2017
34.4M
Q3 2017
65.8M
Q4 2017
54.6M
Q1 2018
117.4M
Q2 2018
78.0M
Q3 2018
73.0M
Q4 2018
75.3M
Q1 2019
87.9M
Q2 2019
86.9M
Q3 2019
83.3M
Q4 2019
61.9M
Q1 2020
135.2M
Q2 2020
87.5M
Q3 2020
92.7M
Q4 2020
78.8M
Q1 2021
136.0M
Q2 2021
101.0M
Q3 2021
122.0M
Q4 2021
90.1M
Q1 2022
132.6M
Q2 2022
108.5M
Q3 2022
111.6M
Q4 2022
134.4M
Q1 2023
186.0M
Q2 2023
152.3M
Q3 2023
180.8M
Q4 2023
186.6M
Q1 2024
197.0M
Q2 2024
189.5M
Q3 2024
188.5M
Q4 2024
167.6M
Q1 2025
275.1M
Q2 2025
454.7M
Q3 2025
472.5M
Q4 2025
408.0M
Q1 2026
641.6M
Q2 2026
480.5M
2011
325.0M
2012
240.2M
2013
251.7M
2014
259.4M
2015
233.7M
2016
233.1M
2017
271.1M
2018
314.3M
2019
367.3M
2020
394.9M
2021
445.7M
2022
540.5M
2023
716.7M
2024
820.6M
2025
1.98B
→Revenue reached $2.0B in 2025, compounding +54% a year since 2022 and the pace is picking up.
What this measures
The money customers paid, before any costs are taken out. Each bar is one quarter or, on the annual view, a full financial year; the last annual bar may be the trailing twelve months, which the footnote marks.
What good looks like. Growth that repeats, rather than one strong year carrying the chart, and a trailing twelve months keeping pace with the last full year.
If it rises or falls. Revenue is the hardest line to flatter, so a rise is the most trustworthy kind of growth. A fall puts pressure on every margin below it, because costs rarely come down as quickly as sales do.
Revenue by segmentInsight
Where does AeroVironment's revenue come from?
dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)
→AeroVironment makes 72% of its revenue from Autonomous Systems ($346M), and that share has risen from 63% in 2025Q3: the mix is shifting towards Autonomous Systems.
Source: SEC filings - segment disclosures (XBRL notes) · as at 2026-08-01
Profit history
Is AVAV's net profit growing?
◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)
Period
Net income ($)
Q3 2011
6.6M
Q4 2011
5.7M
Q1 2012
17.8M
Q2 2012
-1.4M
Q3 2012
8.7M
Q4 2012
3.9M
Q1 2013
-795,000
Q2 2013
-7.2M
Q3 2013
1.7M
Q4 2013
11.2M
Q1 2014
8.1M
Q2 2014
-3.6M
Q3 2014
-2.9M
Q4 2014
2.3M
Q1 2015
7.1M
Q2 2015
-7.0M
Q3 2015
4.4M
Q4 2015
6.2M
Q1 2016
5.4M
Q2 2016
-11.6M
Q3 2016
-4.2M
Q4 2016
-2.2M
Q1 2017
30.5M
Q2 2017
-5.9M
Q3 2017
7.7M
Q4 2017
-776,000
Q2 2018
27.3M
Q3 2018
6.1M
Q4 2018
8.4M
Q1 2019
5.7M
Q2 2019
17.1M
Q3 2019
7.5M
Q4 2019
-1.0M
Q1 2020
17.5M
Q2 2020
10.1M
Q3 2020
2.1M
Q4 2020
211,000
Q1 2021
10.9M
Q2 2021
-14.0M
Q3 2021
2.5M
Q4 2021
10,000
Q1 2022
7.3M
Q2 2022
-8.4M
Q3 2022
-6.7M
Q4 2022
-676,000
Q1 2023
-160.5M
Q2 2023
21.9M
Q3 2023
17.8M
Q4 2023
13.9M
Q1 2024
6.0M
Q2 2024
21.2M
Q3 2024
7.5M
Q4 2024
-1.8M
Q1 2025
16.7M
Q2 2025
-67.4M
Q3 2025
-17.1M
Q4 2025
-243.8M
Q1 2026
63.2M
Q2 2026
-5.1M
2011
30.5M
2012
10.4M
2013
13.7M
2014
2.9M
2015
9.0M
2016
13.1M
2017
17.9M
2018
47.4M
2019
41.1M
2020
23.3M
2021
-4.2M
2022
-176.2M
2023
59.7M
2024
43.6M
2025
-265.1M
→2025 closed with a loss of $265M after being profitable the year before. One bad year is not a pattern, but it is what the balance sheet has to absorb.
What this measures
What is left after every cost, including tax and interest. The bottom line of the income statement.
What good looks like. Profit growing at least as fast as revenue, which means the business is keeping more of each sale as it gets bigger.
If it rises or falls. Profit can move for reasons revenue cannot explain - a one-off charge, a tax change, a write-down - so a single sharp year is worth checking against the margin chart before reading it as a trend.
Growth rate
How fast are AVAV's revenue and earnings growing?
Shown separately because they would flatten the axis: 2015 earnings +210% · 2025 earnings -708% - rebounds off a collapsed prior year.
Year
Revenue growth
Earnings growth
2,012
-0.2611
-0.6576
2,013
0.0481
0.3157
2,014
0.0306
-0.789
2,015
-0.0989
-
2,016
-0.0027
0.4611
2,017
0.1628
0.3636
2,018
0.1595
1.6557
2,019
0.1687
-0.1342
2,020
0.0752
-0.432
2,021
0.1287
-1.1795
2,022
0.2127
-
2,023
0.3259
-
2,024
0.145
-0.2689
2,025
1.4089
-
2026
0.8444
-
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · on the quarterly views, growth is the trailing twelve months against the twelve before, or a quarter against the same quarter a year earlier
→Revenue grew 84% over the twelve months to 2026-08-01, against an average of +44% a year over 2021-2025.
What this measures
How much revenue and earnings changed against the year before - the trailing twelve months against the twelve before them at each quarter, or one point per fiscal year. It is the speed of the business, not its size.
What good looks like. The earnings line above the revenue line: profits growing faster than sales means each new dollar of sales arrives more profitably than the last.
If it rises or falls. A high growth rate off a small base is easy and gets harder every year, so slowing growth in a large business is normal rather than a warning. Earnings falling while revenue grows is the combination worth understanding: costs are rising faster than sales.
Per-share growth
Are AVAV's revenue and free cash flow per share growing?
Year
Revenue per share ($)
Free cash flow per share ($)
2,011
14.5642
0.1686
2,012
10.7257
0.7776
2,013
11.0789
1.1823
2,014
11.207
1.4747
2,015
10.0952
-0.0032
2,016
10.0012
-0.741
2,017
11.3822
2.5308
2,018
13.0557
0.7498
2,019
15.248
0.5761
2,020
16.2097
3.0895
2,021
18.0564
-1.2925
2,022
21.5827
-0.1385
2,023
26.2266
-0.2814
2,024
29.1276
-0.7406
2,025
40.272
-2.8714
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Revenue per share reached $40.27 in 2025, compounding +23% a year against +54% for AVAV as a whole. Dilution absorbed about 31.0 points of that growth. Free cash flow per share stands at $-2.87.
What this measures
Revenue and free cash flow, each divided by the number of shares in issue and adjusted for splits so old and new years compare honestly. Both lines rising means each share owns more of the business's sales and cash.
What good looks like. Both lines rising, and revenue per share growing at least as fast as the company's total revenue, which the answer compares. Faster means buybacks are working for you; slower means new shares are absorbing part of the growth.
If it rises or falls. This is the line that actually reaches you. A company can grow revenue every year and still shrink your slice by issuing shares faster than it grows.
What does “Growth” actually mean?
Growth here is what the company has actually reported to the SEC - not a forecast. We look at the last year, the three-year pace, whether growth is speeding up or slowing down, and whether it's been consistent rather than one lucky year. Hatched bars are fourth quarters we derived from annual filings (companies file a full-year 10-K rather than a Q4 report).
Profitability is thin or negative. The growth isn't turning into money yet.
26.5%kept after direct costs
-12.6%kept after running costs
-4.6%profit on shareholders' money
-4.8%against a 10% cost of capital
-operating cash ÷ net income
Margins
What profit margin does AVAV keep on each sale?
Year
Gross
Operating
Net
2,011
0.3979
0.1325
0.0937
2,012
0.3853
0.0158
0.0434
2,013
0.3719
0.0493
0.0545
2,014
0.402
0.0078
0.0112
2,015
0.4517
0.0859
0.0384
2,016
0.4156
0.0891
0.0562
2,017
0.3973
0.1123
0.0659
2,018
0.4086
0.1076
0.1509
2,019
0.4168
0.1283
0.1118
2,020
0.4167
0.1097
0.0591
2,021
0.3169
-0.0222
-0.0094
2,022
0.321
-0.3305
-0.326
2,023
0.3962
0.1002
0.0832
2,024
0.3883
0.0497
0.0532
2,025
0.2533
-0.1573
-0.1341
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→Operating margin widened 17 points to -16% since 2022. The bottom line is still negative: costs below the operating line eat what is left.
What this measures
What survives at three points on the way down the income statement: after the direct cost of the product, after the cost of running the company, and after everything.
What good looks like. Margins that hold or widen as the business grows. The level itself varies enormously by industry, so the shape over time tells you more than the number.
If it rises or falls. A widening margin means pricing power or costs under control. A compressing one means the opposite, and it compounds: on large revenue, two points of margin is a great deal of profit.
Earnings quality
Does AVAV's operating cash flow keep up with its profit?
Year
Cash from operations
Net income
2,011
18.8M
30.5M
2,012
29.2M
10.4M
2,013
34.0M
13.7M
2,014
39.4M
2.9M
2,015
6.0M
9.0M
2,016
-8.3M
13.1M
2,017
69.8M
17.9M
2,018
26.9M
47.4M
2,019
25.1M
41.1M
2,020
86.5M
23.3M
2,021
-9.6M
-4.2M
2,022
11.4M
-176.2M
2,023
15.3M
59.7M
2,024
-1.3M
43.6M
2,025
-78.4M
-265.1M
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→The company generated -$78M of operating cash in 2025. With no profit to compare against, cash generation is the number that matters here.
What this measures
Reported profit against the cash the business actually collected from operating. Profit is an accounting judgement; cash is not.
What good looks like. Cash at or above profit, year after year. Depreciation and other non-cash charges usually push cash above profit, so roughly 100% or more is healthy.
If it rises or falls. Cash falling behind profit for more than a year is the classic early warning: the sales are booked but the money has not arrived, and it shows up in receivables and inventory. For a lender the comparison behaves differently, because a growing loan book consumes cash.
Returns on capital
What return on equity and on capital does AVAV earn?
Year
ROE
ROA
ROCE
2,011
0.1187
0.0938
0.1508
2,012
0.0351
0.0291
0.0119
2,013
0.0429
0.0374
0.0375
2,014
0.0087
0.0075
0.0059
2,015
0.0258
0.023
0.0563
2,016
0.0373
0.0338
0.0594
2,017
0.0484
0.0413
0.0776
2,018
0.1122
0.0951
0.074
2,019
0.0868
0.0735
0.0945
2,020
0.0459
0.0395
0.081
2,021
-0.0074
-0.0046
-0.0121
2,022
-0.2879
-0.1913
-0.222
2,023
0.0832
0.0609
0.0823
2,024
0.0521
0.0416
0.0444
2,025
-0.1051
-0.0494
-0.0615
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→ROE of -5% and ROCE of -5% sit close together, so the returns come from the business itself rather than from borrowing.
What this measures
Two returns side by side: on shareholders' capital (ROE), and on all the capital in the business including debt (ROCE).
What good looks like. Both comfortably above roughly 10%, and close together. A wide gap means borrowing, not operations, is doing the work.
If it rises or falls. A high ROE built on debt looks like quality until the debt has to be refinanced. ROCE is the harder number to flatter, which is why both are shown.
Income waterfall
Where does AVAV's revenue go, from sales to net profit?
Step
Amount ($)
Revenue, last 12m
2.00B
Gross profit
530.1M
Operating income
-252.6M
Net income
-202.8M
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year
→Of $2.0B over the twelve months to 2026-08-01 sales, nothing reaches the bottom line - the journey from revenue to profit ends $203M underwater.
What this measures
One year of revenue, with each major cost taken out in the order the income statement takes it, ending at net profit.
What good looks like. No single step swallowing a surprising share, and a bottom line that survives all of them.
If it rises or falls. The largest step is where the business really spends its money, and it is the one to watch year to year: a step that grows faster than revenue is what margin compression looks like before it reaches the margin chart.
Cash conversion
How much of each sale does AVAV turn into free cash flow?
Period
FCF margin
2011
0.0116
2012
0.0725
2013
0.1067
2014
0.1316
2015
-0.0003
2016
-0.0741
2017
0.2224
2018
0.0574
2019
0.0378
2020
0.1906
2021
-0.0716
2022
-0.0064
2023
-0.0107
2024
-0.0254
2025
-0.0713
→Free cash flow is negative, so no share of revenue is currently converting to spare cash. Every sales dollar is being reinvested or consumed.
What this measures
Free cash flow as a share of revenue: how much of each dollar of sales survives both costs and capital spending.
What good looks like. A steady or rising share. Asset-light businesses convert far more than manufacturers, so compare a company with itself.
If it rises or falls. Falling conversion while revenue grows means growth is being bought with capital spending or working capital, which is fine while it lasts and painful when it stops.
Spending intensity
How much of its revenue does AVAV spend on capex, R&D and stock pay?
Year
Capex % of rev
R&D % of rev
Stock comp % of rev
2,011
0.0461
0.0953
0.0098
2,012
0.0493
0.155
0.0144
2,013
0.0284
0.1014
0.0144
2,014
0.0204
0.1792
0.0145
2,015
0.0262
0.1499
0.0171
2,016
0.0387
0.1221
0.0146
2,017
0.0353
0.0975
0.0183
2,018
0.0283
0.1089
0.0222
2,019
0.0305
0.1265
0.017
2,020
0.0285
0.1361
0.0176
2,021
0.05
0.1227
0.0121
2,022
0.0275
0.1189
0.0199
2,023
0.0321
0.1363
0.0238
2,024
0.0238
0.1227
0.0262
2,025
0.0316
0.0646
0.0194
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→The biggest claim on each sales dollar is research and development, at 6% of revenue (capital spending 3%, stock compensation 2%). That share has fallen since 2022, so the cost of competing is easing.
What this measures
Capital spending, research and development, and stock compensation, each as a share of revenue. The three ways a business pays to keep its position.
What good looks like. A share that is stable or falling while revenue grows, which means the cost of competing is not rising with the business.
If it rises or falls. Rising intensity means each new dollar of sales is getting more expensive to win. Falling intensity can mean efficiency, or it can mean under-investment that shows up years later.
Operating leverage
Does AVAV's operating profit grow faster than its revenue?
Year
Revenue growth
Operating income growth
2,012
-0.2611
-0.9117
2,013
0.0481
2.2664
2,014
0.0306
-0.8378
2,015
-0.0989
8.9657
2,016
-0.0027
0.0346
2,017
0.1628
0.4652
2,018
0.1595
0.1117
2,019
0.1687
0.3935
2,020
0.0752
-0.0811
2,021
0.1287
-1.2283
2,024
0.145
-0.432
2,025
1.4089
-8.6234
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · on the quarterly views, growth is the trailing twelve months against the twelve before, or a quarter against the same quarter a year earlier
→Operating profit outgrew revenue in only 1 of the last 5 years. Costs are growing roughly in step with the business, so scale isn't yet paying for itself.
What this measures
How often operating profit grew faster than revenue, year by year. Fixed costs mean profit should rise faster than sales once those costs are covered.
What good looks like. Profit outgrowing revenue in most years, and by a widening margin in the good ones.
If it rises or falls. Leverage cuts both ways: the same fixed costs that multiply profit on the way up multiply the damage when sales fall. A business with strong operating leverage is a better business and a more volatile one.
Return on capital employed
Is AVAV's return on capital above what its capital costs?
Period
Return on capital employed
2011
0.1508
2012
0.0119
2013
0.0375
2014
0.0059
2015
0.0563
2016
0.0594
2017
0.0776
2018
0.074
2019
0.0945
2020
0.081
2021
-0.0121
2022
-0.222
2023
0.0823
2024
0.0444
2025
-0.0615
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→AVAV's return on capital is negative at -6.2% in 2025. The capital in the business is not yet earning anything back.
What this measures
The same return as the card above, but every filed year, against a 10% line that stands in for what capital costs.
What good looks like. Years above the line, and a trend that is flat or rising rather than drifting down towards it.
If it rises or falls. A business earning above its cost of capital creates value by growing; one earning below it destroys value by growing. The 10% line is a convention, not a law, so read the distance from it rather than the crossing.
What does “Quality” actually mean?
Quality asks whether the growth makes real money. Margins show how much of each sale survives costs; return on equity shows what shareholders earn on their capital; and the profit-to-cash comparison catches companies whose accounting profits never turn into actual cash.
TTM operating cash flow $59M on a net loss of $203M
IV
Financial health
●●●●●●4/6
Financially sound overall, with one or two things worth watching.
0.17xborrowed vs owned
4.3xnear-term bills coverage
-10xearnings ÷ interest bill
$580Mcash plus short-term investments
Debt & cash
How much debt does AVAV carry, and do its profits cover the interest?
Year
Total debt
Cash & investments
2,012
0
133.8M
2,013
0
167.6M
2,014
0
203.6M
2,015
0
220.4M
2,016
0
194.4M
2,017
0
221.8M
2,018
0
294.2M
2,019
0
280.0M
2,020
0
373.0M
2,021
190.4M
86.5M
2,022
165.8M
90.9M
2,023
38.8M
107.7M
2,024
35.0M
47.0M
2,025
727.9M
587.1M
2,026
730.1M
580.2M
◌ each quarterly point is the balance sheet at that quarter end
→Debt of $730M sits against $580M of cash, or 0.2x shareholders' equity. Earnings don't currently cover the interest bill at all.
What this measures
Total borrowings against cash on hand, with debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity, and how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What good looks like. Interest covered comfortably - roughly eight times or more - and debt that is not a large multiple of equity.
If it rises or falls. Debt is only a problem when it has to be repaid or refinanced in a bad year, so cover matters more than the amount. Rising debt with rising cover is a business borrowing to grow; rising debt with falling cover is the combination that ends badly.
Near-term liquidity
Do AVAV's current assets cover the bills due within a year?
Period
Current ratio
2011
6.6178
2012
6.8717
2013
8.0426
2014
7.0979
2015
10.0283
2016
8.1371
2017
8.762
2018
10.4551
2019
7.5622
2020
9.292
2021
4.0525
2022
3.3582
2023
4.6562
2024
4.2192
2025
5.5097
◌ 2026 = the latest balance sheet (2026-08-01), not a fiscal year-end · each quarterly point is the balance sheet at that quarter end
→Near-term liquidity is comfortable: 4.3x of current assets for every dollar due within the year. That is thinner than in 2011.
What this measures
Current assets over current liabilities: what the company can turn into cash within a year against what it owes within a year.
What good looks like. Comfortably above 1.0, and not falling year after year. Below 1.0 means near-term bills exceed near-term resources, which is normal for some business models and a warning in others.
If it rises or falls. Inventory and receivables build it up; short-term borrowing and payables pull it down. A retailer that turns stock over quickly can run lower than a manufacturer and be perfectly sound.
Cash conversion
How much of AVAV's revenue arrives as operating cash?
Period
Operating cash flow / revenue
2011
0.0577
2012
0.1218
2013
0.1351
2014
0.1519
2015
0.0259
2016
-0.0354
2017
0.2576
2018
0.0857
2019
0.0683
2020
0.2191
2021
-0.0216
2022
0.0211
2023
0.0213
2024
-0.0016
2025
-0.0397
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · each quarterly point is the trailing twelve months to that quarter end, so the last one is the current figure
→2.9% of every dollar AVAV sold arrived as operating cash.
What this measures
Operating cash flow as a share of revenue: of every dollar sold, how much reached the bank before capital spending.
What good looks like. A high share, holding up or improving. It is the clearest sign that reported profit is real.
If it rises or falls. It falls when customers take longer to pay or stock builds up, and it can stay high while profit falls - which is usually the more reassuring of the two.
Shareholders' equity
Is AVAV's shareholder equity (book value) growing?
Period
Equity ($)
2012
315.1M
2013
324.7M
2014
340.8M
2015
354.6M
2016
347.2M
2017
390.4M
2018
455.6M
2019
490.7M
2020
525.2M
2021
602.4M
2022
621.5M
2023
813.0M
2024
861.1M
2025
4.18B
2026
4.40B
→The company's own capital grew from $813M in 2023 to $4.4B (+441%). The business is building book value rather than consuming it.
What this measures
What would be left for shareholders if every asset were sold at its book value and every debt repaid. Book value, in other words.
What good looks like. Equity growing as retained profits build up, unless the company is deliberately returning more than it earns.
If it rises or falls. Equity falls for two very different reasons: buybacks, which return money to you, and losses, which do not. The distinction is the whole story, and negative equity means liabilities now exceed assets, which makes debt-to-equity and return on equity meaningless rather than alarming.
What does “Health” actually mean?
Health asks one question: can the business survive a bad year? We check whether near-term bills are covered, whether debt is modest and shrinking, whether earnings comfortably pay the interest, and - for loss-makers - how many years of cash are left at the current burn rate.
What comes back to shareholders is thin or stretched. Read the checks before counting on it.
+0.06%bought back, TTM, over market value
-at the current rate
$4Mdividends plus buybacks
$32Mlast 12m, dilutes the buybacks
+119.8%since 2011 (split-adjusted)
Capital returned vs stock comp
Do AVAV's buybacks and dividends outweigh the stock it issues to staff?
Year
Buybacks
Dividends
Stock comp
2,015
3.8M
-
4.0M
→Shareholders received $4M in buybacks in 2015. Stock compensation issued $38M of new shares in the same year, offsetting 100% of that.
What this measures
Cash returned through buybacks and dividends, alongside the value of new shares issued to employees as compensation.
What good looks like. Returns comfortably larger than stock compensation, so the share count actually falls.
If it rises or falls. A company can announce billions in buybacks while issuing nearly as much stock to staff, and the two largely cancel. What reaches you is the net effect, which is why both bars are here rather than only the buyback.
Share count change (split-adjusted)
Is AVAV's share count rising or falling?
Year
Share-count change
2,012
0.0034
2,013
0.0147
2,014
0.0188
2,015
0.0003
2,016
0.0067
2,017
0.0217
2,018
0.0108
2,019
0.0007
2,020
0.0114
2,021
0.0133
2,022
0.0146
2,023
0.0912
2,024
0.0309
2,025
0.7423
→The share count grew 74.2% in 2025, averaging 28.8% a year over three years. Your slice of the company shrinks by that much each year unless earnings grow faster.
What this measures
The yearly change in the number of shares in issue, adjusted for splits so the years compare. A bar below zero is a falling share count, usually from buybacks; above zero, new shares were issued.
What good looks like. A flat or falling share count. Falling means each share you hold owns a little more of the business every year.
If it rises or falls. A rising count divides the same business among more owners, so your slice shrinks unless profits grow faster. This is the most direct chart on the page: it is your ownership, measured.
Dilution against what it bought
Has AVAV's revenue per share grown faster than its share count?
Change since 2011. The gap between the lines is what each share gained or lost. Share counts are split-adjusted weighted averages.
Year
Share count, change since 2011
Revenue per share, change since 2011
2,011
0
0
2,012
0.0034
-0.2636
2,013
0.0181
-0.2393
2,014
0.0372
-0.2305
2,015
0.0376
-0.3069
2,016
0.0445
-0.3133
2,017
0.0671
-0.2185
2,018
0.0787
-0.1036
2,019
0.0794
0.0469
2,020
0.0917
0.113
2,021
0.1062
0.2398
2,022
0.1223
0.4819
2,023
0.2246
0.8008
2,024
0.2625
0.9999
2,025
1.1997
1.7651
◌ 2026 = trailing twelve months to the latest filed quarter (2026-08-01), not a full fiscal year · on the quarterly view, revenue per share is the trailing twelve months over that quarter's diluted count
→AVAV issued 120% more shares from 2011 to 2025, but revenue per share still rose 177%. The dilution bought more growth than it cost existing holders.
What this measures
The share count and revenue per share over the same years, both indexed to 100 at the start, so the two lines can be compared directly.
What good looks like. The per-share line above the share-count line: whatever the company did with its shares, more business ended up behind each one.
If it rises or falls. Issuing shares is not automatically bad. It is bad when the money raised buys less growth than the dilution cost, which is exactly what the gap between these two lines shows.
Why compare buybacks with stock compensation?
A company can trumpet billions in buybacks while quietly issuing nearly as much stock to employees. What matters to you is the net effect: is the share count actually falling? If not, the 'return' is mostly recycling.
→AVAV is in a downtrend: the price is below the cloud where recent trading settled and that cloud is still falling. Both shorter readings point down as well, so nothing here disagrees with the downtrend.
How the trend above is worked out
The trend read is the daily Ichimoku picture, the same indicator drawn on the chart above. Five names, and what each one is: the TENKAN is the midpoint of the last 9 sessions' high and low, the fast line; the KIJUN is the same over 26 sessions, the slow one; the two SENKOU spans are midpoints drawn 26 sessions into the FUTURE, and the band between them is the KUMO cloud - because it is drawn forward, the support for the coming weeks is already fixed and a change of its direction can be seen coming; the CHIKOU is today's close compared with the close 26 sessions back. A trend confirms itself in that order and the checks follow it: price clears the cloud, holds above both lines, the Tenkan crosses above the Kijun, the cloud ahead turns up, and the Chikou stands higher than the price a month ago. Six of six therefore means all of that at once; a price sitting inside the cloud, or below its own lines, cannot get there. The last check is the one Ichimoku cannot answer - whether the S&P 500 did better over 12 months (252 sessions), measured on the SPY ETF with dividends included, on the same adjusted basis as the stock's own price. Our figures are the last close we hold, refreshed every trading night; the chart is live. None of this says anything about the business, and it is not advice.
Are AVAV's insiders buying or selling shares with their own money?
Month
Buys ($)
Sells ($)
2023-12
0
0
2024-01
0
0
2024-02
0
0
2024-03
0
526,849
2024-04
0
0
2024-05
0
0
2024-06
0
0
2024-07
0
1.8M
2024-08
0
89,621
2024-09
0
77,703
2024-10
0
184,854
2024-11
0
110,058
2024-12
0
78,697
2025-01
0
0
2025-02
0
0
2025-03
0
3.8M
2025-04
0
0
2025-05
0
0
2025-06
0
0
2025-07
0
4.6M
2025-08
0
0
2025-09
0
0
2025-10
0
1.1M
2025-11
0
170,039
2025-12
0
177,612
2026-01
0
744,852
2026-02
0
431,445
2026-03
0
259,556
2026-04
0
49,323
2026-05
0
40,578
2026-06
0
43,603
2026-07
0
78,364
2026-08
0
89,376
2026-09
0
53,295
2026-10
0
0
→Since December 2023, insiders sold $14M on the open market and bought nothing. Many sales are pre-scheduled diversification rather than a view on the price. A further 136 transactions were grants, option exercises or tax withholding, which say nothing either way.
What this measures
Open-market buys and sells by the company's own officers and directors, from their Form 4 filings. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax are excluded, because they are compensation rather than decisions.
What good looks like. Buying with their own money, which is the one insider action that is hard to explain away.
If it rises or falls. Selling is weak evidence: insiders sell to diversify, to buy houses, and on pre-scheduled plans set months ahead. Buying is stronger evidence, because there is only one reason to do it. The absence of any buying over a long stretch is itself worth noticing.
The record
Who did what, exactly?
Date
Insider
Role
Type
Shares
Price
Value
2026-09-15
Brian Charles Shackley
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
100
$152.27
$15,227
2026-09-15
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$152.27
$38,068
2026-08-17
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$191.98
$47,995
2026-08-14
Brian Charles Shackley
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
205
$201.86
$41,381
2026-07-15
Brian Charles Shackley
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
300
$143.00
$42,900
2026-07-15
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
248
$143.00
$35,464
2026-07-10
Wahid Nawabi
Chair, President and CEO
tax
5,246
$144.58
$758,467
2026-07-10
Sean Thomas Woodward
CFO
tax
236
$144.58
$34,121
2026-07-10
Trace E Stevenson
President, Autonomous Systems
tax
545
$144.58
$78,796
2026-07-10
Clum Mary Elizabeth Mcdaniel
President, Space, Cyber & DE
tax
58
$144.58
$8,386
2026-07-10
Melissa Ann Brown
EVP, Chief Legal Officer
tax
813
$144.58
$117,544
2026-07-10
Brian Charles Shackley
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
tax
243
$144.58
$35,133
2026-06-30
Sean Thomas Woodward
CFO
award
97
$140.31
$13,610
2026-06-30
Wahid Nawabi
Chair, President and CEO
award
97
$140.31
$13,610
2026-06-29
Sean Thomas Woodward
CFO
tax
855
$139.00
$118,845
2026-06-29
Trace E Stevenson
President, Autonomous Systems
tax
1,710
$139.00
$237,690
2026-06-29
Brian Charles Shackley
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
tax
855
$139.00
$118,845
2026-06-29
Wahid Nawabi
Chair, President and CEO
tax
28,265
$139.00
$3.93M
2026-06-29
Melissa Ann Brown
EVP, Chief Legal Officer
tax
3,590
$139.00
$499,010
2026-06-15
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$174.41
$43,603
2026-05-15
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$162.31
$40,578
2026-04-15
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$197.29
$49,323
2026-04-13
Robert Fendlay Smith
Chief Operating Officer
award
1,800
$194.39
$349,902
2026-03-16
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$212.52
$53,130
2026-03-16
Brian Charles Shackley
Chief Accounting Officer
SELL
200
$212.52
$42,504
2026-03-10
Kevin Patrick Mcdonnell
CFO
SELL
396
$224.55
$88,922
2026-03-02
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$300.00
$75,000
2026-02-19
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
250
$275.00
$68,750
2026-02-17
Stephen F Page
Director
SELL
500
$254.95
$127,475
Why do the transaction types matter so much?
Most insider filings are not trades: stock grants, option exercises and tax withholding are how executives get paid, and gifts are estate planning. The signal lives in open-market transactions - a buy means an insider chose to spend their own cash on the stock. Sells are murkier: many are pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plans set months in advance. That's why the chart counts only open-market activity, and the table labels every row.
VIII
Ownership
informational
61.2%on Form 13F, 30 June 2026
0.9%officers, directors, founders
26.7%together
1of the 18 TenQ follows
4last 12 months
Top holders
Who owns AeroVironment stock?
Fund managers filing Form 13F held 61.2% of the company's shares on 30 June 2026. The largest holder is BlackRock, Inc., with 6.8%. Insiders hold 0.9%.
#
Holder
Stake
Shares
Value
Change
1
BlackRock, Inc.Fund manager
6.85%
3.5M
$424M
-29.8%
2
State Street CorpFund manager
4.31%
2.2M
$267M
-4.2%
3
Vanguard Capital Management LLCFund manager
3.24%
1.6M
$200M
+1.8%
4
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLCFund manager
3.05%
1.5M
$189M
-8.6%
5
Baillie Gifford & CoFund manager
1.90%
967,448
$118M
-5.8%
6
Heard Capital LLCFund manager
1.78%
903,975
$110M
+25.3%
7
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.Fund manager
1.68%
854,017
$104M
-8.9%
8
Invesco Ltd.Fund manager
1.37%
698,470
$85M
+16.7%
9
Geode Capital Management, LLCFund manager
1.32%
671,971
$82M
-26.5%
10
Van Eck Associates CorpFund manager
1.21%
612,915
$75M
-10.9%
11
ARK Investment Management LLCFund manager
1.20%
607,502
$74M
+8.6%
12
Stephens Investment Management Group LLCFund manager
1.12%
567,423
$69M
+15.7%
13
Hood River Capital Management LLCFund manager
1.11%
564,254
$69M
New
14
Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.Fund manager
1.03%
525,195
$64M
-27.2%
15
Congress Asset Management CoFund manager
0.98%
495,640
$60M
+26.3%
16
Norges BankFund manager
0.93%
473,141
$58M
New
17
Morgan StanleyFund manager
0.90%
458,955
$56M
+9.2%
18
American Capital Management IncFund manager
0.83%
422,518
$51M
-3.2%
19
Bank of America CorpFund manager
0.81%
409,215
$50M
+101.4%
20
Swedbank ABFund manager
0.74%
376,664
$46M
+37.8%
The full list of top holders is free with an account
Source: SEC Form 13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026, Schedules 13D and 13G, and Form 4. Shares on today's basis, value at the latest price.
Super investors
Which super investors own AeroVironment stock?
Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management holds AeroVironment, 0.7% of its portfolio, as of 30 June 2026. It is the only one of the 18 super investors TenQ follows that holds it.
Source: each firm's Form 13F for the quarter to 30 June 2026, and its Form 4 and Schedules 13D and 13G since. A weight is the holding's share of the firm's 13F portfolio. All super investors
Congress
Are members of Congress trading AeroVironment stock?
One member of the House reported 4 trades in AeroVironment in the last 12 months: 3 buys and one sale.
Source: Periodic Transaction Reports filed with the Clerk of the House under the STOCK Act, within 45 days of a trade. Amounts are the ranges the law asks for. The Senate's reports are not included yet. All Congress trades
Where does this list come from?
Fund managers with more than $100 million in US stocks report their holdings every quarter on Form 13F, up to 45 days after the quarter ends, so the fund figures are as of the last quarter end. A fund family reports as one manager, and funds together can report more than 100%: shares lent to short sellers are bought again by other funds, and both report them. Anyone holding more than 5% of a class files a Schedule 13D or 13G, and officers and directors report what they hold on Form 4 after every trade, so those rows carry their own dates. Short positions are not reported anywhere. A stake is the holder's shares as a share of all the company's shares, with other share classes converted at their market value.