TenQ · Stock reportUpdated 2026-10-16

Talen Energy (TLN)

$17.0B market cap · TenQ Score 11/36

Sells power from its nuclear and gas plants, including to Amazon data centers.

$354.81close as of 2026-10-16
-15.1% over 1Y · 31.9 points behind the S&P 500
$264.86$327.54$390.22$452.91$515.59Oct '25Dec '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

“Can Cornerstone and stronger capacity revenues turn Talen’s raised cash flow guidance into cash after financing and compensation payments?”

Editorial note · updated 2026-10-08
The TenQ Radar

Talen Energy in 36 checks

Talen Energy on the TenQ Radar: value, growth, quality, health, shareholder returns and trend. The fuller the shape, the stronger the company. Behind each axis are six pass-or-fail checks from its filings, spelled out in the chapters below. Point at an axis to see them.

VALUEGROWTHQUALITYFINANCIAL HEALTHSHAREHOLDERRETURNSTREND

The business itself is the question here: 11 of 36 checks passed.

The Talen Energy story

What drives Talen Energy, what its price assumes and what could change the story, written from its own filings.

  • A larger generation fleet. The Cornerstone Acquisition added approximately 2.6 GW in June 2026, expanding Talen’s western PJM presence with baseload and peaker generation.
  • Adjusted earnings strengthen. Talen reported Adjusted EBITDA of $374 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $212 million in the quarter to June 2026, while its net margin over the last twelve months remained -4.9%.
  • Capital commitments expand. In September 2026, Talen announced $1.5 billion of accelerated share repurchase transactions and expanded its repurchase program to $3.0 billion through 2028.

Read the Talen Energy story

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Latest earnings

Talen Energy's latest earnings

Q2 '26 · quarter to 30 June 2026 · reported 5 August 2026 · Earnings release ↗

Revenue$747M+19%vs 2025-34%vs Q1
Earnings-$92M-$164Mvs 2025-$155Mvs Q1
What the release says

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AI summary of the company's filings, every number checked against them · 8 October 2026 · Sources: earnings release, 10-Q

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I

Value

●●●●●●1/6

Expensive against its own history and its sector (judged on sales, as it is not yet profitable): the price asks a lot of the business.

-no history
4.9xno history
3.3%cash earned per $ of price
63.0xwhole-business multiple
Value TLN on your own assumptionsFree DCF calculator, pre-filled from its filings
What does “Value” actually mean?

Value asks what you pay for each dollar of earnings, sales or cash the business produces. A high multiple isn't automatically bad - fast growers earn theirs - but a price far above the company's own history means the market expects a lot to go right. We compare each multiple to the company's own past and to its sector, never to a universal rule.

How we scored it · 1 of 6 checks passed
–Cheaper than its own history (sales - not yet profitable)under 3 years of history
✕Cheap on sales (under 2.5x)4.95 vs 2.50 (fixed yardstick)
✕Cheap on enterprise value vs sales (under 3x)7.66 vs 3.00 (fixed yardstick)
✓Free cash flow yield above 3%3.3% vs 3.0%
✕Cheap on enterprise value (under 14x EBITDA)63.02 vs 14.00 (fixed yardstick)
✕Priced for less growth than its record suggestsnot profitable: no free cash flow or earnings for the price to rest on
II

Growth

●●●●●●2/6

Growth is weak or inconsistent. The trend, not the story, is the problem.

+60.8%vs the year before
-7.0%compound annual
-198.9%net income growth
-compound annual
Revenue history

Is TLN's revenue growing?

◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)

→Revenue reached $2.6B in 2025, compounding -7% a year since 2022 though the pace has cooled. The trailing twelve months are already running at $3.4B, ahead of the last full year.

What this measures

The money customers paid, before any costs are taken out. Each bar is one quarter or, on the annual view, a full financial year; the last annual bar may be the trailing twelve months, which the footnote marks.

What good looks like. Growth that repeats, rather than one strong year carrying the chart, and a trailing twelve months keeping pace with the last full year.

If it rises or falls. Revenue is the hardest line to flatter, so a rise is the most trustworthy kind of growth. A fall puts pressure on every margin below it, because costs rarely come down as quickly as sales do.

Revenue by segmentInsight

Where does Talen Energy's revenue come from?

This insight is free with an account.

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→PJM is Talen Energy's larger segment at $740M, 98% of $753M in 2026Q2, against $13M for All other segments.

Source: SEC filings - segment disclosures (XBRL notes) · as at 2026-06-30

Profit history

Is TLN's net profit growing?

◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)

→2025 closed with a loss of $219M after being profitable the year before. One bad year is not a pattern, but it is what the balance sheet has to absorb.

What this measures

What is left after every cost, including tax and interest. The bottom line of the income statement.

What good looks like. Profit growing at least as fast as revenue, which means the business is keeping more of each sale as it gets bigger.

If it rises or falls. Profit can move for reasons revenue cannot explain - a one-off charge, a tax change, a write-down - so a single sharp year is worth checking against the margin chart before reading it as a trend.

What does “Growth” actually mean?

Growth here is what the company has actually reported to the SEC - not a forecast. We look at the last year, the three-year pace, whether growth is speeding up or slowing down, and whether it's been consistent rather than one lucky year. Hatched bars are fourth quarters we derived from annual filings (companies file a full-year 10-K rather than a Q4 report).

How we scored it · 2 of 6 checks passed
✓Outgrew its sector over the last twelve months60.8% vs 14.0% (sector 70th pct, n=118)
✕Sustained growth beats its sector (3 years)-7.0% vs 7.3% (sector 70th pct, n=113)
✕Profits grew over the last twelve months-198.9% vs 0.0%
✕Profit growth beats its peers (3 years)loss-making: TTM net income -$185M
✓Growth is speeding up, not slowinglast twelve months 60.8% vs three-year pace -7.0%
–Grew per share, not just in totalunder 3 years of per-share history
III

Quality

●●●●●●1/6

Profitability is thin or negative. The growth isn't turning into money yet.

-kept after direct costs
2.6%kept after running costs
-14.2%profit on shareholders' money
0.6%against a 10% cost of capital
-operating cash ÷ net income
Margins

What profit margin does TLN keep on each sale?

→Operating margin compressed 11 points to -3% since 2022. The bottom line is still negative: costs below the operating line eat what is left. TLN doesn't tag a gross-profit line in its filings, so the chart starts at operating margin.

What this measures

What survives at three points on the way down the income statement: after the direct cost of the product, after the cost of running the company, and after everything.

What good looks like. Margins that hold or widen as the business grows. The level itself varies enormously by industry, so the shape over time tells you more than the number.

If it rises or falls. A widening margin means pricing power or costs under control. A compressing one means the opposite, and it compounds: on large revenue, two points of margin is a great deal of profit.

Earnings quality

Does TLN's operating cash flow keep up with its profit?

→The company generated $704M of operating cash in 2025. With no profit to compare against, cash generation is the number that matters here.

What this measures

Reported profit against the cash the business actually collected from operating. Profit is an accounting judgement; cash is not.

What good looks like. Cash at or above profit, year after year. Depreciation and other non-cash charges usually push cash above profit, so roughly 100% or more is healthy.

If it rises or falls. Cash falling behind profit for more than a year is the classic early warning: the sales are booked but the money has not arrived, and it shows up in receivables and inventory. For a lender the comparison behaves differently, because a growing loan book consumes cash.

Returns on capital

What return on equity and on capital does TLN earn?

→ROE of -14% and ROCE of 1% sit close together, so the returns come from the business itself rather than from borrowing.

What this measures

Two returns side by side: on shareholders' capital (ROE), and on all the capital in the business including debt (ROCE).

What good looks like. Both comfortably above roughly 10%, and close together. A wide gap means borrowing, not operations, is doing the work.

If it rises or falls. A high ROE built on debt looks like quality until the debt has to be refinanced. ROCE is the harder number to flatter, which is why both are shown.

Return on capital employed

Is TLN's return on capital above what its capital costs?

→TLN's return on capital is negative at -0.9% in 2025. The capital in the business is not yet earning anything back.

What this measures

The same return as the card above, but every filed year, against a 10% line that stands in for what capital costs.

What good looks like. Years above the line, and a trend that is flat or rising rather than drifting down towards it.

If it rises or falls. A business earning above its cost of capital creates value by growing; one earning below it destroys value by growing. The 10% line is a convention, not a law, so read the distance from it rather than the crossing.

What does “Quality” actually mean?

Quality asks whether the growth makes real money. Margins show how much of each sale survives costs; return on equity shows what shareholders earn on their capital; and the profit-to-cash comparison catches companies whose accounting profits never turn into actual cash.

How we scored it · 1 of 6 checks passed
✕Better net margins than its sector-5.4% vs 16.0% (sector 70th pct, n=117)
✕Runs leaner than its sector (operating margin)2.6% vs 25.9% (sector 70th pct, n=113)
✕Actually profitableTTM net income -$185M
✕Earns well on shareholders' money-14.2% vs 11.1% (sector 70th pct, n=99)
✕Earns a real return on the capital it employs0.6% vs 10.0%
✓Generates cash despite the lossTTM operating cash flow $796M on a net loss of $185M
IV

Financial health

●●●●●●1/6

The balance sheet carries real risk. Read the checks before anything else.

5.92xborrowed vs owned
0.8xnear-term bills coverage
0xearnings ÷ interest bill
$231Mcash plus short-term investments
Debt & cash

How much debt does TLN carry, and do its profits cover the interest?

→Debt of $9.6B sits against $231M of cash, or 5.9x shareholders' equity. Earnings cover interest only 0.4 times, which is thin.

What this measures

Total borrowings against cash on hand, with debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity, and how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What good looks like. Interest covered comfortably - roughly eight times or more - and debt that is not a large multiple of equity.

If it rises or falls. Debt is only a problem when it has to be repaid or refinanced in a bad year, so cover matters more than the amount. Rising debt with rising cover is a business borrowing to grow; rising debt with falling cover is the combination that ends badly.

Near-term liquidity

Do TLN's current assets cover the bills due within a year?

→Near-term liquidity is tight: 0.8x of current assets against a dollar due within the year, so TLN is relying on trading through rather than on what it already holds. That is thinner than in 2014.

What this measures

Current assets over current liabilities: what the company can turn into cash within a year against what it owes within a year.

What good looks like. Comfortably above 1.0, and not falling year after year. Below 1.0 means near-term bills exceed near-term resources, which is normal for some business models and a warning in others.

If it rises or falls. Inventory and receivables build it up; short-term borrowing and payables pull it down. A retailer that turns stock over quickly can run lower than a manufacturer and be perfectly sound.

Interest cover

How many times over can TLN's operating profit pay its interest bill?

→Operating profit does not cover the interest bill (0.4x).

What this measures

Operating profit divided by interest expense - how many times over the year's earnings could pay the year's interest.

What good looks like. High and steady. Five times is a common floor; comfortably above it means the debt is being carried, not merely serviced.

If it rises or falls. It falls when profit falls or when borrowing costs rise, and a company can look safe on the level while the direction is telling you otherwise.

Cash conversion

How much of TLN's revenue arrives as operating cash?

→23.2% of every dollar TLN sold arrived as operating cash.

What this measures

Operating cash flow as a share of revenue: of every dollar sold, how much reached the bank before capital spending.

What good looks like. A high share, holding up or improving. It is the clearest sign that reported profit is real.

If it rises or falls. It falls when customers take longer to pay or stock builds up, and it can stay high while profit falls - which is usually the more reassuring of the two.

Shareholders' equity

Is TLN's shareholder equity (book value) growing?

→The company's own capital shrank from $2.5B in 2023 to $1.6B (-34%). Buybacks or losses are drawing the buffer down - the distinction matters.

What this measures

What would be left for shareholders if every asset were sold at its book value and every debt repaid. Book value, in other words.

What good looks like. Equity growing as retained profits build up, unless the company is deliberately returning more than it earns.

If it rises or falls. Equity falls for two very different reasons: buybacks, which return money to you, and losses, which do not. The distinction is the whole story, and negative equity means liabilities now exceed assets, which makes debt-to-equity and return on equity meaningless rather than alarming.

What does “Health” actually mean?

Health asks one question: can the business survive a bad year? We check whether near-term bills are covered, whether debt is modest and shrinking, whether earnings comfortably pay the interest, and - for loss-makers - how many years of cash are left at the current burn rate.

How we scored it · 1 of 6 checks passed
✕Comfortable near-term liquidity0.78 vs 1.50
✕Debt isn't dominating5.92 vs 1.00
–Debt trending the right wayunder 5 years of balance-sheet history
✕Earnings cover the interest0.36 vs 5.00
✕Converts sales to cash better than its sector23.2% vs 34.5% (sector 70th pct, n=118)
✓Self-fundingTTM free cash flow $568M
V

Shareholder returns

●●●●●●2/6

What comes back to shareholders is thin or stretched. Read the checks before counting on it.

+1.75%bought back, TTM, over market value
-at the current rate
$298Mdividends plus buybacks
$568Mlast 12m, dilutes the buybacks
-43.2%since 2013 (split-adjusted)
Capital returned vs stock comp

Do TLN's buybacks and dividends outweigh the stock it issues to staff?

→Shareholders received $103M in buybacks in 2025. The trailing twelve months come to $298M. Stock compensation issued $526M of new shares in the same year, offsetting 100% of that.

What this measures

Cash returned through buybacks and dividends, alongside the value of new shares issued to employees as compensation.

What good looks like. Returns comfortably larger than stock compensation, so the share count actually falls.

If it rises or falls. A company can announce billions in buybacks while issuing nearly as much stock to staff, and the two largely cancel. What reaches you is the net effect, which is why both bars are here rather than only the buyback.

Share count change (split-adjusted)

Is TLN's share count rising or falling?

→The share count shrank 19.1% in 2025, averaging 12.0% a year over three years. Buybacks are concentrating your ownership: the same business, split fewer ways.

What this measures

The yearly change in the number of shares in issue, adjusted for splits so the years compare. A bar below zero is a falling share count, usually from buybacks; above zero, new shares were issued.

What good looks like. A flat or falling share count. Falling means each share you hold owns a little more of the business every year.

If it rises or falls. A rising count divides the same business among more owners, so your slice shrinks unless profits grow faster. This is the most direct chart on the page: it is your ownership, measured.

Why compare buybacks with stock compensation?

A company can trumpet billions in buybacks while quietly issuing nearly as much stock to employees. What matters to you is the net effect: is the share count actually falling? If not, the 'return' is mostly recycling.

How we scored it · 2 of 6 checks passed
–Share count isn't climbingunder 3 years of share counts
✕Buybacks outpace the stock issued to staff$298M bought back vs $568M of stock compensation
✓What it hands back fits inside its cash flow52.5% vs 100.0%
✕Meaningful yield to owners (dividends and buybacks)$298M returned, 1.8% of market value
✓Buybacks are sustained, not one-off$298M bought back in the last twelve months, $1.4B the year before; no dividend
✕Buybacks growing$298M vs $1.4B the year before; no dividend
VI

Trend

●●●●●●4/6

An uptrend that is not fully confirmed: part of the picture has yet to line up.

+1.0%the long-term trend line
-1.5%S&P 500 (SPY): +3.1%
-14.7%S&P 500 (SPY): +16.0%
-19.0%drawdown from peak
Trend

Which way is TLN's share price trending?

Price chart loads as you scroll…

Chart by TradingView

→TLN is in a clear uptrend: the price is above the cloud where recent trading settled, and that cloud is still rising underneath it. The last two weeks and the month-ago comparison both point up, so the shorter readings back the trend.

How the trend above is worked out

The trend read is the daily Ichimoku picture, the same indicator drawn on the chart above. Five names, and what each one is: the TENKAN is the midpoint of the last 9 sessions' high and low, the fast line; the KIJUN is the same over 26 sessions, the slow one; the two SENKOU spans are midpoints drawn 26 sessions into the FUTURE, and the band between them is the KUMO cloud - because it is drawn forward, the support for the coming weeks is already fixed and a change of its direction can be seen coming; the CHIKOU is today's close compared with the close 26 sessions back. A trend confirms itself in that order and the checks follow it: price clears the cloud, holds above both lines, the Tenkan crosses above the Kijun, the cloud ahead turns up, and the Chikou stands higher than the price a month ago. Six of six therefore means all of that at once; a price sitting inside the cloud, or below its own lines, cannot get there. The last check is the one Ichimoku cannot answer - whether the S&P 500 did better over 12 months (252 sessions), measured on the SPY ETF with dividends included, on the same adjusted basis as the stock's own price. Our figures are the last close we hold, refreshed every trading night; the chart is live. None of this says anything about the business, and it is not advice.

How we scored it · 4 of 6 checks passed
✓Price above the Kumo cloud$354.81 against a cloud top of $351.68
✕Price above the Tenkan and the Kijun$354.81 against the Tenkan (9 sessions) at $364.26 and the Kijun (26) at $335.15
✓Tenkan above the KijunTenkan $364.26 above the Kijun $335.15, 12 sessions since they crossed
✓The Senkou cloud ahead is risingthe Senkou spans already drawn for the next 26 sessions are rising and it turns up partway through
✓Chikou above the price 26 sessions back$354.81 against $311.54 26 sessions ago
✕Beating the S&P 500 over 12 months-14.7% vs 16.0%
VII

Insider activity

informational
$0.00their own money
$74Moften pre-scheduled
12of the last filings
48grants · exercises · tax
Open-market flow

Are TLN's insiders buying or selling shares with their own money?

→Since July 2024, insiders bought $190,588 and sold $1.1B on the open market, a net sale of $1.1B. A further 73 transactions were grants, option exercises or tax withholding, which say nothing either way.

What this measures

Open-market buys and sells by the company's own officers and directors, from their Form 4 filings. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax are excluded, because they are compensation rather than decisions.

What good looks like. Buying with their own money, which is the one insider action that is hard to explain away.

If it rises or falls. Selling is weak evidence: insiders sell to diversify, to buy houses, and on pre-scheduled plans set months ahead. Buying is stronger evidence, because there is only one reason to do it. The absence of any buying over a long stretch is itself worth noticing.

The record

Who did what, exactly?

DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValue
2026-07-15Terry L NuttPresidenttax3,271$385.80$1.26M
2026-06-15Gizman I AbbasDirectorSELL2,600$380.00$988,000
2026-05-22Mark Allen McfarlandChief Executive Officertax139,641$324.21$45.27M
2026-05-22Brad BerrymanChief Operating Officertax43,047$324.21$13.96M
2026-05-22Andrew M WrightChief Administrative Officertax37,594$324.21$12.19M
2026-05-22Dale E Lebsack Jr.Chief Asset Dev. Officertax33,692$324.21$10.92M
2026-05-22Cole MullerChief Financial Officertax27,339$324.21$8.86M
2026-05-22Christopher E MoriceChief Commercial Officertax26,378$324.21$8.55M
2026-05-22Edward T. CasulliSVP & Chief Nuclear Officertax2,774$324.21$899,359
2026-05-22Anthony J PlagensSVP & Chief Accounting Officertax2,231$324.21$723,313
Why do the transaction types matter so much?

Most insider filings are not trades: stock grants, option exercises and tax withholding are how executives get paid, and gifts are estate planning. The signal lives in open-market transactions - a buy means an insider chose to spend their own cash on the stock. Sells are murkier: many are pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plans set months in advance. That's why the chart counts only open-market activity, and the table labels every row.

VIII

Ownership

informational
101.4%on Form 13F, 30 June 2026
1.5%officers, directors, founders
48.7%together
1of the 18 TenQ follows
Top holders

Who owns Talen Energy stock?

Fund managers filing Form 13F held 101.4% of the company's shares on 30 June 2026. The largest holder is BlackRock, Inc., with 9.1%. Insiders hold 1.5%.

#HolderStakeSharesValueChange
1BlackRock, Inc.Fund manager9.09%4.4M$1.5B+6.5%
2Rubric Capital Management LPFund manager7.52%3.6M$1.3B+0.0%
3MFN Partners Management, LPFund manager6.26%3.0M$1.1B+0.0%

The full list of top holders is free with an account

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Source: SEC Form 13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026, Schedules 13D and 13G, and Form 4. Shares on today's basis, value at the latest price.

Super investors

Which super investors own Talen Energy stock?

George Soros's Soros Fund Management holds Talen Energy, <0.1% of its portfolio, as of 30 June 2026. It is the only one of the 18 super investors TenQ follows that holds it.

InvestorOf portfolioValueChange
George SorosSoros Fund Management<0.1%$704,349New

Source: each firm's Form 13F for the quarter to 30 June 2026, and its Form 4 and Schedules 13D and 13G since. A weight is the holding's share of the firm's 13F portfolio. All super investors

Where does this list come from?

Fund managers with more than $100 million in US stocks report their holdings every quarter on Form 13F, up to 45 days after the quarter ends, so the fund figures are as of the last quarter end. A fund family reports as one manager, and funds together can report more than 100%: shares lent to short sellers are bought again by other funds, and both report them. Anyone holding more than 5% of a class files a Schedule 13D or 13G, and officers and directors report what they hold on Form 4 after every trade, so those rows carry their own dates. Short positions are not reported anywhere. A stake is the holder's shares as a share of all the company's shares, with other share classes converted at their market value.

§

Recent filings

A short weekly note on what changed in the numbers, coming soon.One email a week: the charts that mattered, nothing else.
Where these numbers come from. Financial statements: US SEC EDGAR (XBRL company facts, as filed - including restatements; hatched chart bars are fourth quarters derived from annual filings), current to 2026-06-30. Prices: delayed end-of-day, as of 2026-10-16. Scores are counts of the transparent pass/fail checks shown in each chapter; every sentence on this page is computed from the data shown, except the labelled editorial note. Missing data is shown as missing, never estimated. Nothing here is investment advice. Terms · Methodology