TenQ · Stock reportUpdated 2026-10-16

The Metals Company (TMC)

$1.1B market cap · TenQ Score 2/36

Developing deep-sea mining of metal-rich nodules from the Pacific seabed, pre-revenue.

$2.58close as of 2026-10-16
-70.3% over 1Y · 87.1 points behind the S&P 500
$1.96$4.21$6.47$8.73$10.98Oct '25Dec '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26

“Can TMC secure permits and government processing funds in time to support Allseas’s planned offshore commissioning?”

Editorial note · updated 2026-10-08
The TenQ Radar

The Metals Company in 36 checks

The Metals Company on the TenQ Radar: value, growth, quality, health, shareholder returns and trend. The fuller the shape, the stronger the company. Behind each axis are six pass-or-fail checks from its filings, spelled out in the chapters below. Point at an axis to see them.

VALUEGROWTHQUALITYFINANCIAL HEALTHSHAREHOLDERRETURNSTREND

The business itself is the question here: 2 of 36 checks passed.

The The Metals Company story

What drives The Metals Company, what its price assumes and what could change the story, written from its own filings.

  • Permitting is not approval. NOAA published TMC’s USA-A application in August 2026, but certification, environmental review and a final permit decision remained ahead.
  • Liquidity supports development. At June 30, 2026, TMC reported approximately $143 million of liquidity including credit facilities, with $98.7 million in cash and no financial debt.
  • Commercial preparation raises costs. Exploration and evaluation expenses reached $56.1 million in the quarter to June 2026, including $37.2 million in settlement and other negotiated costs owed to Allseas.

Read the The Metals Company story

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Latest earnings

The Metals Company's latest earnings

Q2 '26 · quarter to 30 June 2026 · reported 13 August 2026 · Earnings release ↗

What the release says

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AI summary of the company's filings, every number checked against them · 8 October 2026 · Sources: earnings release, 10-K, 10-Q

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I

Value

●●●●●●0/6

Expensive against its own history and its sector (judged on sales, as it is not yet profitable): the price asks a lot of the business.

-no history
-no history
-3.8%cash earned per $ of price
-whole-business multiple
What does “Value” actually mean?

Value asks what you pay for each dollar of earnings, sales or cash the business produces. A high multiple isn't automatically bad - fast growers earn theirs - but a price far above the company's own history means the market expects a lot to go right. We compare each multiple to the company's own past and to its sector, never to a universal rule.

How we scored it · 0 of 6 checks passed
–Cheaper than its own history (sales - not yet profitable)under 3 years of history
–Cheap on sales (under 2.5x)ps not reported
–Cheap on enterprise value vs sales (under 3x)enterprise value unavailable
✕Free cash flow yield above 3%FCF yield -3.8%
✕Cheap on enterprise value (under 14x EBITDA)no EBITDA to value: -$206M over the last twelve months
✕Priced for less growth than its record suggestsnot profitable: no free cash flow or earnings for the price to rest on
II

Growth

●●●●●●0/6

Growth is weak or inconsistent. The trend, not the story, is the problem.

-vs the year before
-compound annual
-net income growth
-compound annual
Revenue history

Is TMC's revenue growing?

Not enough history to chart.

→No revenue history has been filed for TMC yet.

What this measures

The money customers paid, before any costs are taken out. Each bar is one quarter or, on the annual view, a full financial year; the last annual bar may be the trailing twelve months, which the footnote marks.

What good looks like. Growth that repeats, rather than one strong year carrying the chart, and a trailing twelve months keeping pace with the last full year.

If it rises or falls. Revenue is the hardest line to flatter, so a rise is the most trustworthy kind of growth. A fall puts pressure on every margin below it, because costs rarely come down as quickly as sales do.

Profit history

Is TMC's net profit growing?

◌ dashed quarter = Q4 derived from the annual filing minus Q1, Q2 and Q3 (the SEC never receives a Q4 report)

→The company lost $320M in 2025, more than the $82M it lost the year before. The losses are widening - check the Health chapter for how long the cash lasts.

What this measures

What is left after every cost, including tax and interest. The bottom line of the income statement.

What good looks like. Profit growing at least as fast as revenue, which means the business is keeping more of each sale as it gets bigger.

If it rises or falls. Profit can move for reasons revenue cannot explain - a one-off charge, a tax change, a write-down - so a single sharp year is worth checking against the margin chart before reading it as a trend.

What does “Growth” actually mean?

Growth here is what the company has actually reported to the SEC - not a forecast. We look at the last year, the three-year pace, whether growth is speeding up or slowing down, and whether it's been consistent rather than one lucky year. Hatched bars are fourth quarters we derived from annual filings (companies file a full-year 10-K rather than a Q4 report).

How we scored it · 0 of 6 checks passed
–Outgrew the market over the last twelve monthsunder 8 quarters of history
–Sustained growth beats the market (3 years)under 3 years of history
✕Profits grew over the last twelve monthsloss-making: TTM net income -$306M
✕Profit growth beats its peers (3 years)loss-making: TTM net income -$306M
–Growth is speeding up, not slowingunder 3 years of history
–Grew per share, not just in totalunder 3 years of per-share history
III

Quality

●●●●●●0/6

Profitability is thin or negative. The growth isn't turning into money yet.

-kept after direct costs
-kept after running costs
-profit on shareholders' money
-160.5%against a 10% cost of capital
-operating cash ÷ net income
Earnings quality

Does TMC's operating cash flow keep up with its profit?

→The company generated -$43M of operating cash in 2025. With no profit to compare against, cash generation is the number that matters here.

What this measures

Reported profit against the cash the business actually collected from operating. Profit is an accounting judgement; cash is not.

What good looks like. Cash at or above profit, year after year. Depreciation and other non-cash charges usually push cash above profit, so roughly 100% or more is healthy.

If it rises or falls. Cash falling behind profit for more than a year is the classic early warning: the sales are booked but the money has not arrived, and it shows up in receivables and inventory. For a lender the comparison behaves differently, because a growing loan book consumes cash.

Returns on capital

What return on equity and on capital does TMC earn?

→ROE of -281% and ROCE of -160% sit close together, so the returns come from the business itself rather than from borrowing.

What this measures

Two returns side by side: on shareholders' capital (ROE), and on all the capital in the business including debt (ROCE).

What good looks like. Both comfortably above roughly 10%, and close together. A wide gap means borrowing, not operations, is doing the work.

If it rises or falls. A high ROE built on debt looks like quality until the debt has to be refinanced. ROCE is the harder number to flatter, which is why both are shown.

Return on capital employed

Is TMC's return on capital above what its capital costs?

→TMC's return on capital is negative at -114.6% in 2025. The capital in the business is not yet earning anything back.

What this measures

The same return as the card above, but every filed year, against a 10% line that stands in for what capital costs.

What good looks like. Years above the line, and a trend that is flat or rising rather than drifting down towards it.

If it rises or falls. A business earning above its cost of capital creates value by growing; one earning below it destroys value by growing. The 10% line is a convention, not a law, so read the distance from it rather than the crossing.

What does “Quality” actually mean?

Quality asks whether the growth makes real money. Margins show how much of each sale survives costs; return on equity shows what shareholders earn on their capital; and the profit-to-cash comparison catches companies whose accounting profits never turn into actual cash.

How we scored it · 0 of 6 checks passed
–Better gross margins than the marketgross profit not tagged in its filings
–Runs leaner than the market (operating margin)operating margin not reported
✕Actually profitableTTM net income -$306M
✕Earns well on shareholders' moneynegative equity
✕Earns a real return on the capital it employs-160.5% vs 10.0%
✕Generates cash despite the lossTTM operating cash flow -$44M on a net loss of $306M
IV

Financial health

●●●●●●2/6

The balance sheet carries real risk. Read the checks before anything else.

-debt unreported
1.9xnear-term bills coverage
-396xearnings ÷ interest bill
$99Mcash plus short-term investments
Debt & cash

How much debt does TMC carry, and do its profits cover the interest?

→The company holds $99M in cash against $2M of debt - a net-cash balance sheet, which means a bad year is an inconvenience rather than a threat.

What this measures

Total borrowings against cash on hand, with debt as a multiple of shareholders' equity, and how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What good looks like. Interest covered comfortably - roughly eight times or more - and debt that is not a large multiple of equity.

If it rises or falls. Debt is only a problem when it has to be repaid or refinanced in a bad year, so cover matters more than the amount. Rising debt with rising cover is a business borrowing to grow; rising debt with falling cover is the combination that ends badly.

Near-term liquidity

Do TMC's current assets cover the bills due within a year?

→Near-term liquidity is comfortable: 1.9x of current assets for every dollar due within the year. That is stronger than in 2020.

What this measures

Current assets over current liabilities: what the company can turn into cash within a year against what it owes within a year.

What good looks like. Comfortably above 1.0, and not falling year after year. Below 1.0 means near-term bills exceed near-term resources, which is normal for some business models and a warning in others.

If it rises or falls. Inventory and receivables build it up; short-term borrowing and payables pull it down. A retailer that turns stock over quickly can run lower than a manufacturer and be perfectly sound.

Shareholders' equity

Is TMC's shareholder equity (book value) growing?

Equity is below zero after years of buybacks exceeding earnings, so debt-to-equity and return on equity are not published for TMC: a ratio to a negative base means nothing.

→Shareholders' equity is negative at -$27M: liabilities exceed assets. Usually the mark of heavy buybacks or accumulated losses, and always worth understanding which.

What this measures

What would be left for shareholders if every asset were sold at its book value and every debt repaid. Book value, in other words.

What good looks like. Equity growing as retained profits build up, unless the company is deliberately returning more than it earns.

If it rises or falls. Equity falls for two very different reasons: buybacks, which return money to you, and losses, which do not. The distinction is the whole story, and negative equity means liabilities now exceed assets, which makes debt-to-equity and return on equity meaningless rather than alarming.

What does “Health” actually mean?

Health asks one question: can the business survive a bad year? We check whether near-term bills are covered, whether debt is modest and shrinking, whether earnings comfortably pay the interest, and - for loss-makers - how many years of cash are left at the current burn rate.

How we scored it · 2 of 6 checks passed
✓Comfortable near-term liquidity1.93 vs 1.50
✕Debt isn't dominatingnegative equity
✕Debt trending the right wayliabilities are 115.2% of assets vs 30.3% five years ago
✕Earnings cover the interest-396.46 vs 5.00
–Converts sales to cash better than the marketcash-flow statement unavailable
✓Self-funding2.25 years of cash at current burn
V

Shareholder returns

●●●●●●0/6

TMC returns nothing to shareholders yet, and the share count keeps rising. Every dollar stays in the business.

-bought back, TTM, over market value
-at the current rate
-dividends plus buybacks
$118Mlast 12m, dilutes the buybacks
+128.4%since 2020 (split-adjusted)
Share count change (split-adjusted)

Is TMC's share count rising or falling?

→The share count grew 19.5% in 2025, averaging 17.1% a year over three years. Your slice of the company shrinks by that much each year unless earnings grow faster.

What this measures

The yearly change in the number of shares in issue, adjusted for splits so the years compare. A bar below zero is a falling share count, usually from buybacks; above zero, new shares were issued.

What good looks like. A flat or falling share count. Falling means each share you hold owns a little more of the business every year.

If it rises or falls. A rising count divides the same business among more owners, so your slice shrinks unless profits grow faster. This is the most direct chart on the page: it is your ownership, measured.

Why compare buybacks with stock compensation?

A company can trumpet billions in buybacks while quietly issuing nearly as much stock to employees. What matters to you is the net effect: is the share count actually falling? If not, the 'return' is mostly recycling.

How we scored it · 0 of 6 checks passed
✕Share count isn't climbingshares up 60.3% over 3 years
✕Buybacks outpace the stock issued to staffno buybacks against $118M of stock compensation
✕Hands cash back to ownersno dividends and no buybacks in the last twelve months
✕Meaningful yield to owners (dividends and buybacks)0.00 returned, 0.0% of market value
✕Buybacks are sustained, not one-offpays no dividend and reports no buybacks
✕Buybacks growingpays no dividend and reports no buybacks
VI

Trend

●●●●●●0/6

Every reading points down: a falling trend, not a dip inside a rising one.

-49.7%the long-term trend line
-30.6%S&P 500 (SPY): +3.1%
-73.2%S&P 500 (SPY): +16.0%
-72.7%drawdown from peak
Trend

Which way is TMC's share price trending?

Price chart loads as you scroll…

Chart by TradingView

→TMC is in a downtrend: the price is below the cloud where recent trading settled and that cloud is still falling. Both shorter readings point down as well, so nothing here disagrees with the downtrend.

How the trend above is worked out

The trend read is the daily Ichimoku picture, the same indicator drawn on the chart above. Five names, and what each one is: the TENKAN is the midpoint of the last 9 sessions' high and low, the fast line; the KIJUN is the same over 26 sessions, the slow one; the two SENKOU spans are midpoints drawn 26 sessions into the FUTURE, and the band between them is the KUMO cloud - because it is drawn forward, the support for the coming weeks is already fixed and a change of its direction can be seen coming; the CHIKOU is today's close compared with the close 26 sessions back. A trend confirms itself in that order and the checks follow it: price clears the cloud, holds above both lines, the Tenkan crosses above the Kijun, the cloud ahead turns up, and the Chikou stands higher than the price a month ago. Six of six therefore means all of that at once; a price sitting inside the cloud, or below its own lines, cannot get there. The last check is the one Ichimoku cannot answer - whether the S&P 500 did better over 12 months (252 sessions), measured on the SPY ETF with dividends included, on the same adjusted basis as the stock's own price. Our figures are the last close we hold, refreshed every trading night; the chart is live. None of this says anything about the business, and it is not advice.

How we scored it · 0 of 6 checks passed
✕Price above the Kumo cloud$2.58, below the cloud bottom of $4.39
✕Price above the Tenkan and the Kijun$2.58 against the Tenkan (9 sessions) at $3.15 and the Kijun (26) at $3.48
✕Tenkan above the KijunTenkan $3.15 below the Kijun $3.48, 26 sessions since they crossed
✕The Senkou cloud ahead is risingthe Senkou spans already drawn for the next 26 sessions are falling and it turns down partway through
✕Chikou above the price 26 sessions back$2.58 against $4.01 26 sessions ago
✕Beating the S&P 500 over 12 months-73.2% vs 16.0%
VII

Insider activity

informational
$0.00their own money
$15Moften pre-scheduled
12of the last filings
48grants · exercises · tax
Open-market flow

Are TMC's insiders buying or selling shares with their own money?

→Since November 2023, insiders bought $21,870 and sold $18M on the open market, a net sale of $18M. A further 78 transactions were grants, option exercises or tax withholding, which say nothing either way.

What this measures

Open-market buys and sells by the company's own officers and directors, from their Form 4 filings. Grants, option exercises and shares withheld for tax are excluded, because they are compensation rather than decisions.

What good looks like. Buying with their own money, which is the one insider action that is hard to explain away.

If it rises or falls. Selling is weak evidence: insiders sell to diversify, to buy houses, and on pre-scheduled plans set months ahead. Buying is stronger evidence, because there is only one reason to do it. The absence of any buying over a long stretch is itself worth noticing.

The record

Who did what, exactly?

DateInsiderRoleTypeSharesPriceValue
2026-07-01Allseas Group S.A.10% ownerBUY7,305,567--
2026-06-02Brendan MayDirectorSELL20,768$6.42$133,331
2026-03-26Craig SheskyChief Financial OfficerSELL215,492$4.53$976,825
2026-03-25Craig SheskyChief Financial OfficerSELL78,186$4.58$358,248
2026-03-24Craig SheskyChief Financial OfficerSELL51,941$4.74$246,096
2026-02-10Craig SheskyChief Financial Officerexercise63,204$0.65$41,083
2026-02-06Andrei KarkarDirectorexercise31,602$0.65$20,541
2026-02-06Christian MadsbjergDirectorexercise11,578$0.52$6,021
2026-02-06Christian MadsbjergDirectorexercise31,602$0.65$20,541
2026-02-03Andrei KarkarDirectorexercise63,682$0.52$33,115
Why do the transaction types matter so much?

Most insider filings are not trades: stock grants, option exercises and tax withholding are how executives get paid, and gifts are estate planning. The signal lives in open-market transactions - a buy means an insider chose to spend their own cash on the stock. Sells are murkier: many are pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plans set months in advance. That's why the chart counts only open-market activity, and the table labels every row.

VIII

Ownership

informational
13.3%on Form 13F, 30 June 2026
30.3%officers, directors, founders
42.5%together
Top holders

Who owns The Metals Company stock?

Fund managers filing Form 13F held 13.3% of the company's shares on 30 June 2026. The largest holder is Andrei Karkar, with 13.9%. Insiders hold 30.3%.

#HolderStakeSharesValueChange
1Andrei KarkarDirector · Form 4, 29 May 202613.92%61.4M$158M-
2Gerard BarronChairman & CEO · Form 4, 13 April 20269.48%41.8M$108M-
3Korea Zinc Company, Ltd.Holds over 5% · Form 13G, 25 June 20256.01%26.5M$68M-

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Source: SEC Form 13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026, Schedules 13D and 13G, and Form 4. Shares on today's basis, value at the latest price.

Where does this list come from?

Fund managers with more than $100 million in US stocks report their holdings every quarter on Form 13F, up to 45 days after the quarter ends, so the fund figures are as of the last quarter end. A fund family reports as one manager, and funds together can report more than 100%: shares lent to short sellers are bought again by other funds, and both report them. Anyone holding more than 5% of a class files a Schedule 13D or 13G, and officers and directors report what they hold on Form 4 after every trade, so those rows carry their own dates. Short positions are not reported anywhere. A stake is the holder's shares as a share of all the company's shares, with other share classes converted at their market value.

§

Recent filings

A short weekly note on what changed in the numbers, coming soon.One email a week: the charts that mattered, nothing else.
Where these numbers come from. Financial statements: US SEC EDGAR (XBRL company facts, as filed - including restatements; hatched chart bars are fourth quarters derived from annual filings), current to 2026-06-30. Prices: delayed end-of-day, as of 2026-10-16. Scores are counts of the transparent pass/fail checks shown in each chapter; every sentence on this page is computed from the data shown, except the labelled editorial note. Missing data is shown as missing, never estimated. Nothing here is investment advice. Terms · Methodology